2026-01-12 01:24:09

Recently participated in an incentive activity for a leading prediction market, and the score distribution has been quite disappointing. During the Christmas event, I finally accumulated 0.33 points, and after a whole week, I only earned 1.6 points... Honestly, this earning curve is a bit disheartening.

After taking a closer look at the scoring mechanism, I feel like you need to invest a significant amount of capital to have a presence. Small retail investors participating in such activities seem to be at a disadvantage. The prediction market itself has a good logic, but it would be better if the distribution mechanism were more user-friendly; it doesn't necessarily require large funds to earn meaningful rewards.

That said, the prediction market sector is indeed heating up, but the key to user retention still depends on incentive design. If newcomers spend a lot of time tinkering and only get a few cents worth of points, the conversion rate will definitely stay low. Is anyone else playing this kind of prediction market product? Share your experiences!

View Original

This page may contain third-party content, which is provided for information purposes only (not representations/warranties) and should not be considered as an endorsement of its views by Gate, nor as financial or professional advice. See Disclaimer for details.

12 Likes

Reward
12
8
Repost
Share

Comment

0/400

GasFeeCrybaby

· 16m ago

0.33 points to 1.6 points? This yield curve is really impressive. Small retail investors playing with this are just working for the big players. With such a lousy incentive mechanism, no wonder users can't stay. Predictive markets do have potential, but this distribution method really makes people want to smash their keyboards. Is there a senior who can come out and tell the truth? How are you guys still making money playing with this? If the distribution mechanism isn't changed, all the hype about concepts is pointless.

View OriginalReply0

AirdropGrandpa

· 9h ago

0.33 points really made me laugh, is this the so-called "Schrödinger's Incentive"? Small retail investors are just destined to be wiped out; wake up, everyone. Prediction markets sound fancy, but the allocation mechanism clearly favors those with no money. These kinds of products are just disguised Ponzi schemes; there's no difference. I also want to try it, but with your returns, I think I'll pass. Who hasn't encountered this kind of big hype? Anyway, I won't touch it anymore.

View OriginalReply0

LiquidationWizard

· 01-12 01:54

I just want to know how this score is calculated. --- Playing this kind of thing as a small retail investor is really pointless; big players make money while small investors get nothing. --- No wonder I’ve always lacked motivation to play; now I understand why. --- The incentive design is so bad that they still want to keep people? Laughable. --- This is why I quit long ago—wasted my time. --- It feels like predicting the market is always this bad. Is there a better platform out there? --- Just looking at the mechanism, you can tell it’s not good; it can’t support retail investors at all. --- 0.33 points, are you kidding me? Might as well just top up the money directly.

View OriginalReply0

TokenDustCollector

· 01-12 01:53

I think this is just a scam to harvest retail investors, small players don't stand a chance. The blood and tears of retail investors, talking about it just brings tears. With such an incentive mechanism design, it's indeed impossible to attract newcomers. Really, big funds are the real bosses, and small retail investors like us are just cannon fodder. Has anyone found a reliable prediction market? This one feels too scammy. Getting 0.33 points was truly despairing; I've been through it too. Instead of messing around with this, it's better to try other tracks.

View OriginalReply0

DiamondHands

· 01-12 01:50

It's that same big player eating up everything trick again, a bloody history for retail investors. This mechanism is clearly a template for cutting leeks; it can't be changed. Sending scores like this? No wonder no one plays. Small funds are just here to send warmth. Wait, does anyone really make money here?

View OriginalReply0

orphaned_block

· 01-12 01:48

This mechanism is really brilliantly designed; small retail investors are just here to be the sacrificial lambs. It's just a new trick for big funds to harvest retail investors. No matter how popular the prediction market gets, it can't save this garbage incentive. After a week of messing around, I only scored 1.6 points. I'm just not playing anymore.

View OriginalReply0

fork_in_the_road

· 01-12 01:43

This is a typical case of big players dominating while small retail investors get left behind. From 0.33 to 1.6, that growth rate makes me feel uncomfortable just looking at it. The market prediction indeed has potential, but the incentive mechanism is really poorly designed. Has anyone achieved meaningful returns? Please share your insights. If the mechanism doesn't change, newcomers won't be able to stay. Better to make your own predictions and not rely on the platform scores. Small amounts of money don't see any growth at all; this is just a filter. Wait, wait, wait—are things really this competitive?

View OriginalReply0

BoredWatcher

· 01-12 01:26

Haha, it's the same old scam to cut leeks. Big players eat the meat, small investors drink the soup. --- 0.33 points? Bro, are you doing charity work? --- Basically, they use us for traffic. If they really wanted to share the profits, they would have designed it long ago. --- The incentive mechanism is clearly tailored for big whales. Small accounts can forget about it. --- Predicting market prospects is fine, but this kind of distribution logic really discourages newcomers. --- Does anyone know of other more reliable prediction markets? This one seems to be giving up on small investors. --- Only 1.6 points after a week of fussing. Might as well go play some gold coins. --- This is why Web3 retention is so poor. It's driven away by these toxic designs. --- Fund size determines everything. This isn't an incentive event; it's a rich men's club. --- I've seen it coming. Any product that only feels meaningful when big money is invested usually doesn't last long.

View OriginalReply0

Trending Topics
View More
#
GateProofOfReservesReport
23.07K Popularity
#
ChineseMemecoinBoom
27.61K Popularity
#
CPIDataAhead
50.32K Popularity
#
SOLPriceAnalysis
17.27K Popularity
#
GateSquareCreatorNewYearIncentives
103.21K Popularity

Hot Gate Fun
View More

1
疯狂者
疯狂者
MC:$3.56KHolders:1
0.00%
2
kobeBryant
kobeBryant
MC:$3.61KHolders:2
0.04%
3
我马都不马你
我马都不马你
MC:$3.62KHolders:2
0.05%
4
杰克
杰克
MC:$3.56KHolders:1
0.00%
5
小丑
小丑
MC:$3.61KHolders:2
0.04%

Sitemap

Trending Topics

GateProofOfReservesReport

ChineseMemecoinBoom

CPIDataAhead

SOLPriceAnalysis

GateSquareCreatorNewYearIncentives

Hot Gate Fun

疯狂者

疯狂者

kobeBryant

kobeBryant

我马都不马你

我马都不马你

杰克

杰克

小丑

小丑

Pin

Your First Words Matter!
Share your first post on and split $10,000 in New Year rewards.
Post with #My2026FirstPost to share your New Year wish
2026U Position Voucher, Gate New Year boxes, F1 Red Bull merch await you!
Ends on Jan 15, 2026, 16:00 UTC
2026 starts with this post!

Trending Topics

GateProofOfReservesReport

ChineseMemecoinBoom

CPIDataAhead

SOLPriceAnalysis

GateSquareCreatorNewYearIncentives

Hot Gate Fun

疯狂者

疯狂者

kobeBryant

kobeBryant

我马都不马你

我马都不马你

杰克

杰克

小丑

小丑

Pin

Your First Words Matter! Share your first post on and split $10,000 in New Year rewards. Post with #My2026FirstPost to share your New Year wish 2026U Position Voucher, Gate New Year boxes, F1 Red Bull merch await you! Ends on Jan 15, 2026, 16:00 UTC 2026 starts with this post!

Your First Words Matter!
Share your first post on and split $10,000 in New Year rewards.
Post with #My2026FirstPost to share your New Year wish
2026U Position Voucher, Gate New Year boxes, F1 Red Bull merch await you!
Ends on Jan 15, 2026, 16:00 UTC
2026 starts with this post!