January 12, 2026 BTC Contract Key Technical Levels

Yesterday, Sunday, the market did not clearly emerge; currently, the price is at a critical decision point of multi-cycle resonance — after testing the key support, it weakly rebounded. The overall structure is a contraction with resistance above and support below, indicating a narrowing oscillation. Focus on “high sell and low buy at both ends of the range.”

Bull-bear dividing line: 90,450.7 USDT (multiple validations of strong support on daily and 4-hour charts; as long as it holds, the structure remains; if broken, it turns bearish).

Upper resistance levels (shorting/breakout to long zones):
P3: 94,741.5 (previous high, strong resistance)
P2: 92,000.0 (key psychological level)
P1: 91,600.0 (recent oscillation upper boundary, core resistance)

Lower support levels (long zones):
S1: 90,450.7 (core long position/dividing line, highly valuable)
S2: 89,200.0 (previous low platform, secondary support)
S3: 87,717.9 (previous 4-hour strong support platform; if broken, the medium-term structure weakens)

Probability Trading Discipline:
1. The above levels are technical estimations, not exact points; orders can be placed with a fluctuation of 100-150 points around these levels.
2. Today's stop-loss distance: 1300 points (take-profit distance; beginners can set at 1:1, experienced traders should execute and reduce positions by 50%-75%, then move to break-even to hold the position).
3. Max two preset trades per day (long and short setups).
4. If daily cumulative loss reaches 10% of capital, forcibly shut down and rest.

Core Trading Logic:
• From a long-term perspective, the price is consolidating at a high level after a long-term uptrend. The weekly candle shows a wick at the bottom, indicating support at key levels but insufficient upward momentum, signaling a period of directional decision.
• From a medium-term perspective, after peaking at 94,741.5, the price retraced. Yesterday’s candle’s lower shadow again precisely tested the 90,450.7 support and recovered. This revalidates 90,450.7 as an effective bull-bear dividing line. The daily structure is defined as a retracement within an uptrend, with an unclear direction, within the core range of 90,450.7 - 94,741.5.
• From a short-term perspective, the current price forms a clear contraction oscillation zone between 90,450.7 and 91,600.0. 90,450.7 is the lower boundary and support tested multiple times; 91,600 is the recent rebound high forming resistance. The market is accumulating energy within this range, waiting for a breakout.

Probability Trading Conclusion:
The market has drawn a “rectangular pond” above the key dividing line. Buying at S1(90,450.7 and shorting at P1)91,600.0 essentially means “betting on the price bouncing within the pond,” leveraging the natural advantage of position to achieve high win rates. Setting traps at the market’s natural boundaries reflects “profit and loss are of the same origin.” Stick to the principle of “only act at key levels.” All intermediate fluctuations are illusions trying to lure you out. Be patient and wait for the market to reach the boundary; follow through on a breakout. All operations must strictly include stop-loss, abandon cleverness, and set traps with fixed risk. Use a consistent 1:1 risk-reward ratio, allowing market inertia to pay the reward. By consistently executing this simple, repetitive system, you will achieve stable profits.

Disclaimer: This content is compiled from public market analysis and historical data, intended for informational reference only. It does not constitute any investment advice. Cryptocurrency markets are highly volatile; any investment decision should be based on independent research.