#2026年比特币价格展望 Nine years in the industry, now thirty-four years old. In recent years, the hotels I stay at are mostly around 2,000 yuan per night. I'm not saying this to show off, but to illustrate—while peers are still working on factory assembly lines or in e-commerce teams with 996 schedules, my life has indeed become much more relaxed.

But few people see the price paid behind this. When I decided to go all-in on trading, I had no backup plan—I've experienced margin calls, stayed up all night guarding positions, and had my principal wiped out. It’s these bloody lessons that have gradually helped me understand the market’s temperament.

As bull and bear cycles repeat more often, price fluctuations are no longer enough to shake me. Those who stay in this game are never competing with advanced technical analysis; they know what to avoid and what is worth betting on.

For example, a strong upward move with slow pullbacks usually indicates someone is suppressing buying momentum to accumulate shares. Chasing highs will only make you the bagholder. After a sharp decline, a weak rebound is often a false signal created by the main players, and those bottom-fishing will end up regretting it. High-volume at a top doesn’t necessarily mean a peak, but sideways consolidation with no volume at a high is the most dangerous signal. Don’t get too excited about volume spikes at the bottom; watch if the trading volume can be sustained. When the price stabilizes, that’s a real sign of building positions.

To be honest, trading cryptocurrencies is really about human psychology. Market trends are driven by market sentiment, and all traces of that sentiment are reflected in trading volume. When you’re about to go all-in, it’s often the moment seasoned traders are preparing to exit; when you’re scared and want to cut losses, smart money has already taken their chips away.

The people repeatedly exploited in the market are just a few types. Liquidation isn’t because they’re not smart enough, but because they can’t control their hands. Beginners hoping to turn things around with one trade usually get educated by the market in the process.

I don’t consider myself particularly talented, but over the years I’ve persisted in reviewing my trades, constantly adjusting, and iterating. The reason I can make money is fundamentally because every mistake has been deeply reflected upon and summarized, not because of luck or others’ calls.

Now I rely more on systematic logic and data support to make decisions, riding the trend. Opportunities in mainstream coins are never lacking; what’s truly scarce are those who can understand market opportunities and also restrain themselves.