The sentiment shift feels real this time. Market tides are turning—we're seeing the kind of alignment that suggests a genuine supercycle brewing. After months of consolidation, the pressure's been building like a beachball held underwater. This could be the setup for the kind of catch-up rally nobody expects until it's already happening.

Mental capitulation tends to come right before breakouts. When retail throws in the towel and the charts break back above key resistance, that's when things accelerate. The question isn't whether we're there yet—it's whether we'll recognize the moment when it arrives.

The probability distribution feels skewed to the upside. One thing that gets missed in bear markets: if this cycle plays out like it should, we're still in early innings. Here's hoping the alignment holds.