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Trump's push to unlock Venezuela's dormant oil reserves sounds like a win-win on the surface—Venezuela gets richer, America fills its pockets. Tempting logic. But dig deeper and the strategy falls apart.
Think about it: geopolitical tensions aren't that simple. Venezuela's infrastructure is crippled, recovery timelines are uncertain, and relying on unstable regimes creates its own risks. Plus, a sudden flood of cheap oil could tank global prices, hurting American shale producers. That's problem one.
Then there's the trade-off nobody's talking about. Betting on energy exports to solve Venezuela's crisis ignores deeper structural issues—currency instability, capital controls, institutional collapse. Quick oil money doesn't fix those.
Finally, timing matters. Global energy markets are already volatile. Flooding supply without coordinating with OPEC dynamics could trigger market chaos, affecting everything downstream—gas prices, inflation, even your portfolio.
So yeah, the vision is ambitious. But economic reality rarely matches political optimism.