#美国非农就业数据未达市场预期 $BTC $SOL

Tonight's market crossroads: two major changes are coming

On the surface, everything seems calm, but in reality, funds are quietly shifting. The two events announced by the US directly determine the rhythm of the next few trading days—especially the ruling at 8 PM, which could very well become a watershed for the market.

First, let's look at the employment data. Job additions didn't meet expectations, but the unemployment rate is tightening—this signal is worth pondering. Logically, the Fed's confidence in maintaining a high-interest-rate cycle may be weaker than imagined. Funds are pulling back, reallocating from risk assets. Mainstream cryptocurrencies have been mostly oscillating downward these days; don't be fooled by rebounds—chasing highs carries significant risk.

The real pressure comes at 8 PM. The Supreme Court's ruling on tariffs will be announced. Regardless of the decision, the market will have to digest a wave of enormous uncertainty. Statistically, there's over a 70% chance the court will rule the policy illegal. If that happens, over $600 billion in funds could be reallocated. What will this level of movement do? Most likely, it will first trigger a shakeout, pushing prices higher to create a false sense of prosperity before dropping sharply, or it could simply decline gradually, luring bottom-fishers into the market. Conversely, if the court upholds the original ruling, policy uncertainty will continue, and the crypto market should prepare for prolonged sideways trading and downward movement—at this point, bottom-fishing is akin to licking blood on a knife's edge.

Three things must be guarded:
1⃣ Position management: prioritize reducing leverage; one wave of volatility shouldn't wipe out the entire account;
2⃣ Don't bet on a single direction with all-in bets; the market's complexity far exceeds human intuition;
3⃣ After the ruling, the situation will become more fragmented—observe first, then act.

A heavy rain is coming. Will you choose to hide early, or wait until the rain clears before moving? Share your thoughts in the comments. 👇