#MSCI未排除数字资产财库企业纳入范围 $BTC $SOL

Tonight's market may迎来 a watershed—two major news events will directly rewrite the subsequent trend

Surface calm, undercurrents surging. Two key US data releases are about to ignite the market, especially the one at 8 PM; once the verdict is out, it could cause a stir.

First, look at the first signal: the employment data shows a contradiction. Although new jobs seem below expectations, the unemployment rate has tightened—this is equivalent to saying that the Federal Reserve's rate hike cycle is nearing its end. Funds are beginning to withdraw from risk assets, and Bitcoin and altcoins are oscillating downward; chasing high now could easily lead to missed opportunities.

The real variable lies in the second: the Supreme Court tariff ruling will be announced at 8 PM. No matter the ruling, volatility is inevitable—

If the court rules illegal (market assigns a 77% probability), over $600 billion in funds will face reallocation. Both bulls and bears may be shaken out; a common pattern is to first dump to clear positions, then rebound, or vice versa—initial surge then drop to trap retail investors.

If the original ruling is upheld, policy uncertainty will continue to linger, and the coin price will keep grinding at the bottom. Those trying to bottom fish should be cautious—this is akin to licking blood from a knife edge.

A few bottom lines to hold:
1️⃣ Leverage must be reduced; don’t push positions too hard—no matter how volatile, it won’t turn the ship over
2️⃣ Don’t expect to go all-in and bet on the right direction; the market is more unpredictable than you think
3️⃣ After the ruling, the situation will become even more complex; blind trading is less wise than listening to professional analysis

On the eve of the storm, do you choose to exit early or keep waiting?