Many people ask me, how can I survive long enough in the crypto market? My answer is simple—it's not about luck, but about systems.



Last year, I helped a student double their account in three months. When asked about the secret, he said the most useful thing wasn't some advanced indicator, but this set of practical, reality-based methodologies. Today, I’m sharing the eight core principles in hopes of inspiring you.

**1. The Five-Part Cutting Method**
Divide your capital into five equal parts; never go all-in at once. I apply this to mainstream coins like $BTC, $ETH, and $SOL . Only move one part at a time, with a 10% stop-loss. Do the math: one mistake costs 2%, five mistakes add up to a deep loss. But just one correct move can start with a steady 10% gain. Repeatedly stacking the "small loss, big gain" logic, the power of compound interest becomes evident.

**2. The Trend Is Always King**
Many get fooled by rebounds during a downtrend; in fact, most rebounds are just false signals. Conversely, those pullbacks during an uptrend? Often the best opportunities to position. Learn to distinguish between rebounds and pullbacks, and you'll grasp the market’s rhythm.

**3. Stay Away from Explosive Rises**
Coins that surge wildly in the short term are often manipulated. After a sharp rise, 90% of the time, sideways consolidation is a trap for distribution. No need to bet on continued madness—missed opportunities are okay. Staying alive is the priority.

**4. Use MACD as Your Radar**
A bullish crossover of DIF and DEA below the zero line? That’s a buy signal. Conversely, a death cross above the zero line suggests reducing your position. Don’t see it as a magic tool, but as a reference system—helpful in avoiding many pitfalls.

**5. Never Add to Losing Positions**
This is the most painful but crucial rule. Doubling down on losses leads straight to liquidation. Only add to positions that are already profitable to amplify gains. Accept losses calmly, then wait for the stop-loss to trigger—this is discipline.

**6. Volume and Price Tell the Truth**
A sudden surge in volume at a low point often signals the start of a rally. Conversely, at high levels, even if prices keep rising, declining volume indicates the main players are quietly retreating. Candlestick charts can be painted, but volume can’t be faked.

**7. Follow Only Three Moving Averages**
Upward 3-day MA? Short-term opportunity. Upward 30-day MA? Medium-term strength. Longer cycles like 84-day and 120-day MAs trending up? That’s the main bull run and long-term bull market. Not gambling on the future, but following existing trends.

**8. Always Review Your Trades**
Doing well is luck; doing consistently well is skill. Spend time reviewing each trade—note where your judgment was correct and where it went wrong. Accumulate feedback, and trading will shift from gambling to craftsmanship.

All these points boil down to four words: survive long enough. Those who can run the full course in the crypto market are often not the smartest, but those who manage risk best and stay rational.
BTC1.53%
ETH2.02%
SOL5.07%
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CryingOldWalletvip
· 17h ago
The five-part division method has indeed saved me several times, and I’ve lived much longer than friends who go all-in with full positions. Can relying on MACD really help avoid pitfalls? I feel it still depends on market intuition; there are too many times when indicators lag. The most heartbreaking is still point five—so many people around me keep adding to their losses until they get liquidated, it makes me tremble. Talking about review and reflection is easy, but actually doing it is hard. How many can stick to it for three months? I’ve already been caught twice by explosive moves; this time I really won’t touch it again. Staying alive is the most important. I’ve tried short-term trading with the 3-day moving average, but sometimes it results in more losses, maybe I need to combine it with other conditions. I often misjudge the low-volume breakout strategy; how can I determine what’s reliable, everyone? The combination of volume and price is excellent; I agree that trading volume can’t be faked. The idea of diversifying risk is sound, but sticking to the five-part division discipline is the hardest—whenever the market looks good, I want to add more. Rebounds and pullbacks are really easy to confuse; this requires market intuition accumulation, and indicators don’t help much.
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BagHolderTillRetirevip
· 17h ago
The five-part splitting method sounds good, but how many people can really stick to it? I still tend to go all in... The point about stop-loss is spot on. Every time I see a loss, I want to add more, but the deeper I go, the worse it gets. Discipline is really the hardest part. I remember the signal of a volume breakout at a low level. Last time, I didn't wait for the volume, and ended up waiting in vain... By the way, are you still using MACD now? I've given up on it; I rely more on intuition now. Living long enough really hits home. There are too many dead coins in the crypto world. Being able to survive and make money is truly a success. If you really follow all eight rules, how much willpower does that require... I'll start by not adding to losing positions. Reviewing is the easiest to slack off on. When you're doing well, no one wants to look back. Actually, that's the core problem.
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JustAnotherWalletvip
· 17h ago
The five-part cutting method is indeed brilliant, much smarter than my previous all-in margin call explosion. To put it nicely, it's the system; to be blunt, it's about mindset determining life and death. This part of the review really hit me—I didn't even remember how I lost money before. I've long seen through those coins that make you rich overnight; most of them are graveyards for bagholders. The longer you live, the higher your chances of winning—it's that simple. Everything else is just fancy tricks. I've used the MACD set before; it can indeed help avoid pitfalls, but it's not foolproof. Discipline in stop-loss is really a knife's edge with a soft heart—every time I hesitate to cut. The relationship between volume and price just came to mind; I didn't pay attention to how many times the K-line deceived me before.
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MidnightGenesisvip
· 17h ago
On-chain data doesn't lie, but human greed does. These eight rules are essentially the codification of risk management, each one verifiable in the corpse pile of candlestick charts. I particularly agree with the five-part segmentation method, which is like installing a circuit breaker on the account. After so many years of monitoring the market late at night, those who truly survive are never the ones who bet on the right direction, but rather those who know how to cut losses in time when wrong. Regarding the fifth point about not adding to losing positions... it’s worth noting that most liquidations actually happen at this step. So, this methodology may seem simple, but in reality, it is derived from the harshest market laws through reverse engineering.
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