#以太坊大户持仓变化 $ETH recent trend has several possible development directions, I will analyze them one by one:

【Most likely scenario: Continuous correction upward】

The key support levels on the daily chart are at 3,103 and 3,077. As long as these hold, Ethereum will continue to move along the upward channel. The short-term target is in the range of 3,20x to 3,26x. Once stabilized, it can push towards 3,30x to 3,36x (this is the weekly supply zone). However, be aware that when approaching the 3,30x level, trading volume must keep up; otherwise, it may be pushed back.

【Moderate risk scenario: Retracement followed by secondary recovery】

If the daily chart effectively breaks below 3,077 and the rebound fails, then a pullback to find support is needed. The value zone is around 3,000 (this level has a strong magnet effect). If 3,000 cannot hold, the next support level is around 2,935. Many people have positions at this level, so the probability of a rebound is also not small.

【Stronger bullish signal (requires weekly confirmation)】

This requires $ETH to re-establish above 3,254 and hold firmly, then further break through and confirm a pullback at 3,365. Once this is confirmed, larger supply zones above will open layer by layer. The 3,682 level is the next major test; passing it will lead to higher resistance zones at 4,1xx to 4,4xx.

【My current judgment】

The 200EMA on the daily chart is like a lifeline, with prices oscillating around it. Although the KDJ indicator is somewhat weak, it is approaching a bottom rebound window. The key is whether 3,103 and 3,077 can hold. From a weekly perspective, Ethereum is still below the main resistance zone of 3,254 to 3,365. This week’s rally followed by a retreat indicates that selling pressure above is quite heavy. Until this critical zone is reclaimed, the market is more likely to remain in a range correction rather than a true main upward trend.