Recent market news has been flying fast and furious, and one data point stands out—Trump’s impeachment probability during his term has surged to 57%, hitting a record high. The guy himself hasn’t denied it; if the midterm elections in 2026 turn the tide, the chance of impeachment could be quite high. Honestly, the political drama in Washington is so unpredictable and dramatic that sometimes it’s more surreal than reality.

But what does this mean for the crypto space? We need to think it through carefully. Trump’s stance on crypto policies has always been unpredictable—during his last term, from trade wars to policy reversals, the market kept swinging. If he actually faces impeachment or is forced to step down, the policy tone could shift dramatically. The regulatory direction for the crypto industry, the Fed’s attitude, and market risk appetite—all could change suddenly.

Looking back at history makes it clear: whenever Washington is in turmoil, capital tends to flow in two directions. One is into traditional safe-haven assets like Bitcoin and gold, seeking certainty. The other is to stay on the sidelines, waiting for the storm to pass. In the short term, when the news first breaks, volatility is unavoidable—especially around the US stock market open and close, which are often sensitive windows.

For traders, my advice is: don’t blindly place orders just based on headlines. First, observe the market’s real reaction, and distinguish between actual price movements and false signals. Holding spot positions is fine, but with derivatives, you need to be more cautious. During times of political uncertainty, market sentiment can swing wildly, and you might end up providing liquidity to others. Pay close attention to Bitcoin’s price action and those Meme coins with political labels—these assets tend to be the most volatile during such events.

In the coming period, it’s wise to pay close attention to market details, especially during US stock trading hours, which are key moments for information flow and capital reallocation. Under political uncertainty, every move the market makes is worth analyzing, but don’t get caught up in the noise.