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A Polymarket weather prediction trader has gone viral, with an impressive two-month track record—earning $3,300, starting from $1.9 and growing to $354.23, with a return rate of 18,587%, and making 1809 predictions. The most astonishing part is that this account has zero views, operating completely in silence and making big profits quietly.
Let's take a closer look at his strategy; the logic is quite clear: First, he almost never touches positions exceeding $0.10. Cheap assets turn out to be gold mines, as low-priced prediction contracts have large volatility and attractive odds. Second, he firmly avoids arbitrage traps. Those binary "Yes/No" trades under $1 seem easy to profit from, but in reality, they are liquidity black holes, so he chooses to steer clear.
This guy proves with real actions that sometimes, the less flashy strategy in prediction markets, the more powerful it is. He doesn't seek exposure, only returns.