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Bitcoin exhibited typical consolidation characteristics on January 9. After dipping to $89,262 in the morning, it quickly rebounded to a high of $91,445, then repeatedly oscillated around $91,200, with a relatively mild intraday decline of only 0.14%. However, behind this calm, there was turbulent undercurrent—total network contract liquidations within 24 hours reached $461 million, with over 127,700 traders facing liquidation. The proportion of long positions liquidated exceeded 90%, reflecting a highly divided market sentiment.
The shift in institutional attitude has become a key factor in suppressing prices. Over the past three days, 11 US-listed Bitcoin spot ETFs experienced a net outflow of $1.128 billion, essentially offsetting the $1.16 billion net inflow seen in the first two trading days of 2026. This clearly indicates a cautious stance among professional funds. From a stage high of $94,600 on Monday to around $90,000, this decline is driven by this wave of institutional de-risking.
However, positive signals are emerging from regulators. The South Korean government explicitly stated in the "2026 Economic Growth Strategy" that it will promote the implementation of Bitcoin and other digital asset spot ETFs this year. The Financial Committee will accelerate the legislative process for the second phase, and stablecoin regulation frameworks are also on the agenda. Meanwhile, US banks have approved their Merrill Private Bank and Merrill Edge financial advisors to proactively recommend spot Bitcoin ETFs, and approvals have been granted for four products including BlackRock and Fidelity. This marks Bitcoin's gradual integration into the traditional wealth management system.
Interestingly, Fidelity Digital Assets observed that Bitcoin's "realized volatility" has fallen to a historic low of 42%, whereas early-year annualized volatility for BTC often exceeded 100% or even 200%. Historical patterns suggest that such extremely low volatility often signals an impending price surge to new highs. This current low volatility may be setting the stage for the next upward wave.