Interval-based judgment for cashing out, complete strategy execution | Special analysis invitation

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Odaily Exclusive Market Analyst Cody Feng, a Master of Financial Statistics from Columbia University, USA. Since university, he has focused on US stock quantitative trading and gradually expanded into digital assets such as Bitcoin. He has built a systematic quantitative trading model and risk control system through practical experience; he possesses keen data insights into market volatility and is committed to deepening his expertise in professional trading, pursuing steady returns. Every week, he delves into BTC technicals, macro factors, capital flows, etc., reviews and demonstrates practical strategies, and previews major upcoming events worth noting for reference.

Bitcoin Weekly Review (01.05～01.11)

Conclusions first:

This week, Bitcoin’s overall trend has been almost entirely within the 84,000 to 94,500 USD oscillation range we outlined at the beginning of the week. The price was precisely resisted at the 93,000 to 94,500 USD pressure zone and then retreated to the lower middle part of the range, with core support levels validated by market real-time trading.

In this trade, we established a short position near 94,000 USD and exited all positions around 91,000 USD, capturing approximately 3.4% profit in a single interval (spot), completing a high-confidence, low-drawdown profit realization in a ranging market.

1. Core Range and Key Level Validation This Week

At the start of the week, we clearly indicated that the focus should be on the bullish and bearish battles around the 84,000 to 94,500 USD range.

Actual market movement showed that Bitcoin faced clear resistance after rebounding to the 93,000 to 94,500 USD pressure zone, with multiple failed attempts to push higher, followed by a pullback, confirming this area as a temporary “ceiling.”

Regarding support levels, after dropping to around 86,000 to 86,500 USD, there were obvious signs of stabilization and buying interest, while the critical support at 84,000 USD has not yet been touched. The overall structure remains within a broad oscillation framework.

2. Execution of Plan A (Entry to Exit)

Based on the range-bound judgment, our Plan A formulated at the beginning of the week was effectively executed.

When the price rebounded to the 93,000 to 94,500 USD zone and showed signs of weakening, and when two models (momentum and spread trading) resonated with a top signal, we immediately opened a short at 93,771 USD, and the market declined as expected.

When the spread trading model issued a bottom signal, we fully exited at 90,584 USD, completing a full, emotion-free short trade. The entire process was not post-hoc “armchair strategizing” but pre-planned, executed in real-time, and validated afterward.

3. Mid-Week Trading Strategy

Bitcoin 4-hour chart: (Momentum Quantitative Model + Spread Trading Model)

From the 4-hour technical structure (see above), Bitcoin is currently supported around 86,500 USD. Multiple technical indicators have entered oversold territory, indicating short-term selling pressure has been released, and the market shows signs of technical rebound (oscillatory bounce). However, this is not yet enough to confirm a trend reversal.

Based on this, we expect the price to initially rebound and test the 92,000 to 93,000 USD area, which is also the upper middle of the previous range, likely forming resistance again.

In short-term trading, the main approach remains within the range: if the price rebounds to this zone and shows signs of momentum exhaustion or failed breakout signals, consider shorting at high levels; if it effectively breaks above 94,500 USD, stop-loss decisively and reassess the market structure.

4. Summary

Overall, Bitcoin remains within the broad oscillation pattern defined at the start of the week: support below provides room for rebounds, while resistance above limits upside. Rather than betting on a one-sided trend, respecting the range structure and focusing on high-confidence levels with strict risk control is more prudent.

In ranging markets, developing flexible strategies and maintaining stable profits are more important than trying to predict direction.

Disclaimer: The above content reflects personal market views and does not constitute any investment advice. Cryptocurrency markets are highly volatile; please make independent judgments and strictly control risks.