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#我的2026第一条帖 Non-farm payrolls bombshell to explode tonight! Amid the highest unemployment rate in four years, who will crash first: US stocks, cryptocurrencies, or gold?
Tomorrow night (January 9) at 21:30 Beijing time, the US will release the December 2025 non-farm employment report. Against the backdrop of the unemployment rate rising to a four-year high in November, this report will be a key basis for the Federal Reserve's January interest rate decision.
In 2025, the US labor market is characterized by weak supply and demand. Supply is affected by tightened immigration policies, while demand has cooled due to government layoffs, tariff shocks, and AI substitution effects.
Market expectations for December data vary. Small non-farm payrolls show hiring slowing down but no signs of a stall. The data could present four scenarios: better than expected, in line with expectations, worse than expected, or mixed signals. These scenarios will have different impacts on the market and the Fed's policy, and may also affect cryptocurrencies, stocks, forex, and precious metals. Therefore, I have pre-positioned ETH, expecting to earn 200 points.