Bitcoin Weekly SFP Pattern 91% Success Rate Behind: Current Signal Interpretation and Risk Warning

【Crypto World】The weekly swing failure pattern (SFP) of Bitcoin has been a topic of constant attention. Data shows that this pattern has a success rate of up to 91% since 2021—in 22 observed cases, 20 ultimately triggered a price reversal of over 10%, making this success rate quite remarkable.

But here’s the key point: execution is always more complex than theory. Currently, Bitcoin is in a neutral zone, and bullish signals are not clear. To confirm a genuine bullish opportunity, two conditions must be met: the price must break below the recent low (around $85,000), and then the weekly close must stay above that low. It sounds simple, but in practice, it tests patience.

Opinions in the trading community are also mixed. Some traders believe that unless Bitcoin returns to the $98,000 to $100,000 range, substantial bullish signals are unlikely. The current market may just be a short-term rebound lacking sustained support.

So if you’re watching this pattern, the key is to wait for confirmation of the level—don’t rush to make a judgment.