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#比特币价格预测 Tom Lee's perspective is interesting—short-term defense combined with a long-term bullish strategy. This is actually the standard logic for professional traders: decisions across different timeframes can be completely inconsistent.
Looking at this, he himself expects a new high by January 2026, while his fund predicts a drop to 60,000-65,000 in the first half of next year. At first glance, it seems contradictory, but it actually reflects the responsibilities of two roles—one responsible for macro liquidity judgment, and the other for short-term risk management and position allocation.
This offers important insights for followers. Many people will cut long-term holdings just because an analyst is short-term bearish, resulting in missed opportunities. A more professional approach is: under the premise of confirming a long-term upward trend, use short-term adjustments to rebalance and reallocate positions. If Bitcoin really pulls back to just above 60,000 in the short term, it’s actually a buying opportunity rather than a signal to sell the top.
The key is to understand your own timeframe. If your follower is a short-term trader, then follow a defensive approach. But if your goal is long-term holding, then short-term volatility should be seen as a rhythm for rebalancing. Don’t be scared out by short-term noise, and don’t ignore recent risks just because you’re optimistic about the long-term—these two are actually two wheels of the same trading system.