#Strategy加码BTC配置 $PEPE | $FIL | $DOT — The Real Game of 2026

At the start of the new year, the market has already ignited an unprecedented liquidity battle.

The dot plot is the arena for this trading competition. Who can survive? It depends on which way liquidity leans. Is the saying "The rate cut wave is coming" truly a mirage? Are we returning to an era of easy profits, or facing a harsher reality? 🐶

**The Cold Hard Truth of the New Year**
The Federal Reserve begins strongly: interest rates remain steady at 3.50%-3.75%. Last year, they cut once (by 25 basis points), mainly for show. The underlying message is—strong economic resilience, don’t expect massive easing.

**What the December Dot Plot Revealed**
- Only 25 basis points of rate cuts planned for 2026
- Inflation still sticky at 2.4%
- GDP maintaining a stable growth of 2.3%
Even the dovish members are starting to feel the pressure.

**Wall Street’s Voices Are All Different**
Goldman Sachs and Morgan Stanley suggest two rate cuts (25 basis points each in March and June) / JPMorgan sees only one / Some expect up to 150 basis points of easing. The divergence is quite extreme.

**A Variable to Watch Out For**
Powell’s term ends in May. If a more dovish successor takes over, the entire story could reverse overnight.

**The January FOMC Meeting Is the Direction Indicator**
Stocks, cryptocurrencies, bonds—all assets will react to the tone of this meeting. With economic resilience evident and inflation still stubborn, the Fed isn’t in a hurry. Unless—job data suddenly plummets, or inflation drops like a slide.

**The Most Realistic Forecast**
A slow and cautious pace of rate cuts.

**Trading Tips**
Don’t chase highs.
Don’t let FOMO cloud your judgment.
Wait for the dot plot to be released and observe the market’s true reaction. In a liquidity-driven cycle, the secret to making money isn’t chasing headlines, but finding where the market’s real disagreements lie.

**Current Market Performance**
- PEPE: 0.00000512 | +25.18% 📈
- FIL: 1.46 | +13.17%
- DOTUSDT Contract: 1.995 | +11.82%