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From Grayscale to BlackRock, the topic weight of large institutions in the Bitcoin market is increasing. In 2021, when Grayscale unlocked BTC, the market was still supported by various new concepts like DeFi, Layer2, and others. The current situation is completely different — besides the narrative of spot ETFs, there are hardly any new incremental stories to attract funds.
This raises a subtle issue: once an institution of BlackRock's size decides to sell, retail funds simply cannot absorb the sell-off. More importantly, their selling pace is much more aggressive than Grayscale's, backed by traditional financial arbitrage funds working in tandem.
Ultimately, the current market has become a capital arms race — whoever has a more abundant ammunition depot will be the last to laugh. But there is a harsh reality: most people think they are bottom-fishing, but in fact, they are just providing liquidity cushions for these institutions. Every transaction in the market is backed by the ebb and flow of capital.