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Recently, Bitcoin's on-chain activity has shown some interesting changes. Data indicates that from mid-December to the end of the month, the average USD value per transaction dropped from $46,610 to $24,897—almost a 47% cut. However, during this period, Bitcoin's price remained quite stable, oscillating within the $87,000-$88,000 range.
Why is this happening? The concentration of holdings provides some clues. This indicator remained almost unchanged from December 25 to 30, stuck at 14.4%. What does this mean? The willingness of large holders to trade has significantly decreased. Some analysts believe this may be related to American investors' holiday mode—people are on vacation, naturally less inclined to trade, leading to a cooling of market liquidity.
What’s next? Once the holidays end and the market becomes active again, the concentration of holdings may rise back to a certain critical point, then either continue to push higher or suddenly drop sharply. Currently, it’s a phase of buildup.