2025-12-31 09:21:11

2026 will be a pivotal year for regulatory policies in the cryptocurrency industry. According to industry observations, the United States will see several major regulatory milestones this year, directly impacting the policy environment of the entire market.

In January, the Senate is expected to advance hearings on market structure legislation, while the SEC's "Innovation Exemption" mechanism is also anticipated to be unveiled. Both developments point toward more detailed industry regulations.

By May, Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell's term will expire, and the Trump administration may appoint a more lenient candidate, which could have a substantial impact on the direction of risk assets.

July is the month when policies are expected to be implemented—California's Digital Financial Assets Law will officially take effect, meaning industry participants must obtain licenses to operate legally; simultaneously, related regulatory details of the Genius Act will be released, covering license applications, asset custody, anti-money laundering, and other core rules.

In August, we may see progress on crypto tax legislation and the completion of CFTC's blockchain market rules, further clarifying the boundaries for taxation and derivatives trading.

The biggest uncertainty lies on November 3rd—the US midterm elections could change the balance of power in Congress. If control shifts, the current relatively "crypto-friendly window" may be rewritten.

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BugBountyHunter

· 2h ago

Wait, are the November elections really that crucial? It feels like the entire 2026 depends on this vote. The licensing system is back again, and with this wave, a bunch of projects will probably die. The Powell replacement issue seems even more far-fetched than regulatory policies. The bunch of detailed rules implemented intensively in July, small coin projects are probably doomed. The whole 2026 is like walking a tightrope, see who can make it to the end of the year.

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StakeTillRetire

· 2h ago

Damn, in May to change the Federal Reserve Chair? Let's see if Trump can really push through a dovish candidate, otherwise it's all for nothing. In July, that California wave, will we need to renew the license plates again? So troublesome. The November elections are the real key; a comeback could mean the end of 2026. The moment Powell steps down, I’ll be glued to the screen. This window period feels like it could close at any time, gotta seize the opportunity to get on board.

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NonFungibleDegen

· 2h ago

ngl ser this timeline hits different... may's fed chair swap gonna be the real alpha moment tho, everything else is just cope until then fr fr

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CrashHotline

· 2h ago

The term "window period" is really getting annoying now. Once the November elections reverse, everything will be gone. Can that day in November really decide everything? It all feels虚的. If it takes effect in July, then those small projects should be dead and gone. The real key is Powell's replacement. Loose policy = Bitcoin taking off? Not necessarily. After this year, it feels like we're playing a game of cat and mouse with regulatory authorities. 2026 might be the big reshuffle. Are you ready for a margin call?

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