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2025 will indeed be a tough period for the cryptocurrency market. Bitcoin has fallen 30% from its all-time high, and the entire altcoin sector is in disarray. In stark contrast, traditional assets are shining brightly—gold has gained 70% this year, and silver an astonishing 160%.
This reflects a fundamental change in the current cycle. In previous cryptocurrency bull markets, retail investors were the main driving force, and their influx often created massive waves. But this time is different—the capital driving this cycle mainly comes from institutional investors, digital asset funds, and large Bitcoin accumulators, with retail investors playing a more marginal role.
The question is: why are ordinary investors hesitant about cryptocurrencies? The answer is straightforward. When traditional finance and precious metals can offer such substantial returns with much lower risk, the rational choice becomes clear. Historical experience shows that retail investors always pay tuition fees each time they enter the market.
However, this situation will eventually change. Retail funds will flow back into the crypto market, but the flow will be more concentrated—the majority will go into Bitcoin, followed by projects with real value. As for those altcoins without solid fundamentals and various "concept coins," the days of retail chasing after them are probably limited. The market is gradually becoming more rational.