2025-12-31 07:25:37

Why does CHZ still have such significant room for growth? The answer actually lies in history.

Let's review: whether it was the peak of the 2021 bull market or the high point during the 2022 World Cup, the CHZ to BTC exchange rate range remained basically consistent. But now? The current CHZ to BTC rate has fallen to less than 1/30 of what it was back then.

History often rhymes, even if it doesn't repeat exactly. If CHZ against BTC can surge another 30x, I will exit completely.

But before that — I still believe it hasn't truly started moving. So my strategy is simple: continue dollar-cost averaging, keep adding, until the CHZ/BTC exchange rate reverts to its historical equilibrium level. The rocket is about to take off.

CHZ19.63%

BTC-0.41%

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GhostAddressHunter

· 5h ago

Is the number 1/30 really true? It just feels like the logic is a bit too convenient. I've heard too many times that history repeats itself. As for CHZ, I saw it during the last World Cup when it was riding the hype, but it just feels a bit虚 (vague/empty). DCA to 30x? Bro, you'll have to live until that day to see it. Wait, do you mean you can still get in now? Isn't it already cooled down? Basically, it's gambling—betting that history will repeat itself, betting that you can get out before the rocket takes off. I'll stay on the sidelines and see if any news about practical applications comes out.

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MEVictim

· 7h ago

1/30 This number sounds a bit uncertain, but the logic really hits the point. Just stick to regular investing. --- Historical rhymes are no lie, but I'm just worried this might be another story. --- The selling point is set at a 30x increase, this guy still has some sense. --- CHZ, it feels like it's constantly bouncing between dreaming and waking. --- There’s nothing wrong with a dollar-cost averaging strategy, it just depends on your mental resilience. --- If 1/30 really rebounds, then there’s definitely some room for imagination. But I've heard "the rocket is about to take off" too many times. --- Using the historical equilibrium as a benchmark for the exchange rate isn’t a bad idea, but the problem is that the equilibrium point itself is also changing. --- Everyone is waiting for the launch, but I’m afraid it’s another coin that will start first.

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DaoGovernanceOfficer

· 7h ago

ngl the 1/30 ratio thing is just survivorship bias dressed up as analysis... show me the actual data on why chz/btc *should* revert to historical levels. without that it's just hopium with extra steps tbh

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SchrodingerAirdrop

· 7h ago

1/30 huh? If this really multiplies 30 times, I’ll just lie flat. CHZ was really hyped up as a god in the past two years, and now it’s fallen like this... Anyway, I don’t have much money, so I’ll just treat it as a gamble. Dollar-cost averaging friends, +1. Anyway, idle money is just sitting there. Wait, isn’t this logic a bit too idealistic? Repeating history isn’t that simple. 30 times... Never mind, overthinking it. Hold on for now. Feels like I’m about to get caught again, but I still can’t bring myself to sell.

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WalletInspector

· 7h ago

1/30 this ratio is outrageous. If it could truly return to the historical equilibrium, I would have gone all in already. Whether CHZ can take off this time depends on whether BTC gives us face; relying solely on dollar-cost averaging might be a bit risky. I've heard this rhyme about history too many times, but CHZ is indeed ridiculously cheap. Before a rocket takes off, it needs to refuel. Who dares to go all-in in this cold and quiet market? Thirty times? Sounds great just hearing it. When that day comes, I'll be on the beach already haha. Betting on this rhyme—either making a fortune or just paying tuition fees. CHZ/BTC has fallen so deep, indicating that big players have already been lurking at the bottom. Following dollar-cost averaging is the right move.

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MidnightTrader

· 7h ago

1/30 is quite exaggerated; if it really rebounds, it will be fierce... but the premise is that BTC needs to perform well. --- Wait, whether history rhymes or not depends on market sentiment. Don't rely too much on this theory. --- DCA 30x? Bro, your mindset is good, but I'm just worried that it might shrink before the 30x comes. --- It sounds reasonable, but does CHZ really resist drops? I want to see how far it can go. --- I've already thought about the exit points; now that's professionalism... Why don't I have that awareness? --- Return the exchange rate to historical equilibrium? Sounds like they're saying it'll go back to 2017, haha.

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