As of 2025-12-31 14:00, BTC short-term volatility is weak with an unclear direction; the core range is $86,500–$88,800. Before the year-end closing, trading will mainly be within the range and cautious, with strict position control.

Core Market Overview (as of 14:00)

- Price: approximately $87,400, up about 0.5% in 24H, with reduced volume and oscillation, liquidity is low at year-end
- Main Trend: Daily chart is suppressed by EMA30, with a bearish moving average alignment, MACD shows a death cross, indicating a bearish dominance
- Rhythm: 4-hour MACD bearish bars are shortening without a golden cross; RSI is neutral (around 45); moving averages are intertwined, balancing bulls and bears
- Volume: 24H trading is sluggish, funds are cautious, easily disturbed by large orders

Key Price Levels (USD)

- Resistance: $88,100–$88,800 (short-term), $89,800–$90,000 (strong resistance, integer level + previous high); if price stabilizes above $88,800 with increased volume or tests $91,000+
- Support: $86,500–$87,000 (short-term, today's low), $85,700–$86,000 (strong support, 100-week EMA); if price falls below $86,500 with increased volume or drops to $84,000–$85,000

Bull and Bear Scenarios

- Bull: Close above $88,100 on 4-hour chart, volume breaks above $88,800, rebound continues, target $89,800–$90,500
- Bear: Falls below $86,000 with increased volume, accelerates downward to $85,000–$85,700, further down to $84,000
- Consolidation: With decreasing volume, likely to stay within $86,500–$88,800 range until close

Trading Recommendations

1. Short-term: Range trading, lightly long at $86,800–$87,000 with stop-loss at $86,000; lightly short at $88,500–$88,800 with stop-loss at $89,200; quick in and out, strict position control (≤20%)
2. Swing Trading: Mainly cautious, wait for volume breakout above $88,800 or breakdown below $86,500 before following the trend
3. Risk Management: Year-end low liquidity and high slippage risk, avoid heavy overnight positions; monitor options expiry hedging risks that may trigger volatility
#DrHan2025年终公开信 $BTC