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Today, you don't need to watch the market anymore. Anyway, even if Bitcoin continues to surge, it's unlikely to break through $71,000 in one go. The decline won't be significant either. Whether you watch or not doesn't make much difference.
The real situation in recent days is that the market is stabilizing, and individual stock performance is highly polarized. Not many coins are rising, but there are plenty of coins falling. This has been the rhythm for several consecutive trading days, reflecting a somewhat冷淡 trading sentiment. The most annoying thing is the feeling of earning from the index but not from individual coins, testing everyone's patience in holding coins.
On the last trading day of the year, I initially hoped to see a broad rally to end the year, but the main funds started to operate in the opposite direction again. Ethereum surged and then fell back, Bitcoin also fluctuated after a rally and then dropped again, mainly going against the market majority's expectations.
But none of this matters because, from Bitcoin's continuous rise in recent days, the ultimate goal is still to break upward. The process may have twists and turns, but the direction is clear.
Additionally, the performance of other markets today is average, with trading volume starting to shrink in the afternoon. I still hope to see an independent trend continue. Although the hope for a broad increase in individual stocks is slim, I am confident that the index will stay in the red.
One detail worth noting is that some top coins, although surging and then falling back, haven't dragged down the yellow line of trading sentiment completely. This indicates that large-cap projects are being dragged down, but small-cap and thematic coins are still rising. From the trend of small and mid-cap coins, we can see that they led the decline in the morning but then started to bottom out, rebound, and rise.
In the afternoon, closely monitor the movements of small and mid-cap coins. If they continue to rise in the afternoon, trading sentiment may further improve. It has been several days of more gains than losses, and many coins are now in continuous decline. There's no need to panic about any single coin at this point.
When the market sentiment for individual coins turns around, it will probably be when Bitcoin breaks through a key level. Currently, the main force is controlling the big index, allowing individual coins to adjust. When a broad rally of individual coins occurs, it will be a signal that the index is about to break through.
The last trading day before the holiday is here. Those who need to run have already left early, and most of those remaining are just lying flat. So, there's no need to make any moves today.
Lying flat and staying flat, holders just wait until after the holiday; those who want to exit can go on vacation early. Since there are no major changes today, just stay put like in the past few days.
Based on the recent pattern of market control, there is still hope that Bitcoin can end with a red close. As for individual coins, there isn't much expectation of a broad rally. We've been accustomed to this extreme polarization for several days now.
The market is so extreme that for most retail investors, trading is very difficult. They can only wait patiently. When market sentiment is good, you make money from the market; when sentiment is poor, reckless trading usually results in losses.
Whether now or next year, most people are actually earning from the opportunities the market provides beyond their own cognition. But many also can't make money. This is the market's way of educating all retail investors.
Patience might be the foundation for earning from the market because most trends are created by waiting, not chasing in.
Keep a good mindset—don't rush or be impatient. Adjust according to the trend, and everything will be fine. The year is about to end, and next year hasn't truly begun yet. There's still plenty of time to trade. Rushing won't help.
The next trading day is a new beginning, a new starting point. From today's perspective, this starting point is still above the trend. For me, today is also about standing firm until the final close of the year.