How should we view this round of ZEC行情?

Looking back, this coin has provided two good short opportunities — short around 455 and smoothly caught the move near 400, each with a profit of 60 points. But suddenly, it shot up inexplicably this time. Should we keep sending money or dig a trap?

From a technical perspective, the ZEC daily chart shows a strong triangle convergence pattern. The current price is at a relatively low level, and the trading volume is gradually shrinking, approaching the end of convergence — such situations often lead to a breakout. In the short term, ZEC is likely to leverage the market momentum to surge toward around 566. But here’s the key point: we already shorted at 488 and 455, each time earning 60 points. If we now try to chase that small 30-point profit while risking a sudden 100-point surge, it’s clearly not worth it.

Better to wait and see, and let the trend clarify. From a mid-term perspective, ZEC is definitely headed downward.

**Trading Strategy:**

Scenario 1: If ZEC truly breaks through 455 and reaches the 566 zone, then 566 becomes an excellent short entry point. Place a short order in advance at 566 (using 5x leverage as an example). A breakout can happen within minutes, and execution is quick. Just wake up the next day and pick up the profit.

Scenario 2: If ZEC cannot hold above 455 and drops directly, then focus on the support levels at 376 and 300. These two levels are unlikely to be broken easily in the short term, and there will be oscillations around them. After oscillating around 300 a couple of times, we can then go all-in on a short position. By then, ZEC will likely plummet irrationally toward around 120.

Overall, ZEC is destined to go downward. It’s very possible to see it drop to 130 within two months. Currently, the market is calm. Instead of frequently chasing small profits, it’s better to rest more and wait for the market to panic to the extreme before going all-in on the bottom. This approach will yield more solid win rates and returns.