2025-12-26 12:23:19

The new US administration is pressuring the Federal Reserve to lower interest rates, and only those with a consistent policy stance are likely to lead the Fed. This suggests that the interest rate cut cycle will probably continue into next year.

In an environment of ample liquidity, US stocks, precious metals, and commodities may all see upward opportunities. But the story for BTC seems less straightforward—will the crypto market follow the rally or fall into a new bear market?

There are several possibilities before us: first, a V-shaped rebound, where a sufficient accumulation leads to a restart; second, a slow bottoming process that tests investors' patience; third, continued decline, triggering a new wave of panic selling. No one can give a 100% certain answer on how this round of market will unfold.

BTC-1.67%

View Original

This page may contain third-party content, which is provided for information purposes only (not representations/warranties) and should not be considered as an endorsement of its views by Gate, nor as financial or professional advice. See Disclaimer for details.

13 Likes

Reward
13
5
Repost
Share

Comment

0/400

FancyResearchLab

· 3h ago

Interest rate cuts, in theory, should be feasible, but I no longer dare to jump into this pit in the crypto world... V-shaped rebound, slow bottoming out, continued decline—basically a "we don't know, we don't dare to ask" three-way choice, and now I’ve become an expert at it. --- Locked myself inside again. The Federal Reserve cuts interest rates, liquidity is abundant, but BTC is still struggling—just another useless innovation environment. --- V-shaped rebound or slow bottoming out, brother, these options are no different from flipping a coin. This contract is quite interesting. --- No one can give a 100% certain answer? Then I’ll be at ease. Anyway, I’ve mastered DeFi, so let’s just treat this as a small experiment. --- The interest rate cut cycle continues, US stocks and precious metals are rising, but the crypto circle is just that forgotten small town... Luban No.7 is back at work, and this time it’s bound to lose again. --- Maximum academic value, minimum practical value—that’s exactly my recent operations. So even with lower interest rates, BTC can’t save itself, right?

View OriginalReply0

PumpStrategist

· 3h ago

Interest rate cut expectations pave the way, but whether BTC can absorb this wave of liquidity depends on the distribution of chips. Don't be fooled by superficial logic. --- Listing all three possibilities is the same as not mentioning any; the real issue still depends on actual trading volume and capital flow. --- A typical rookie mentality, thinking that a rate cut = crypto bull market, but little do they know, the technicals have already been telling a story. --- The pattern has formed but signals are chaotic. Now, 90% of those chasing the high are here to take over, which is quite interesting. --- Whether this rate cut cycle can save BTC depends on whether institutions are really entering the market in large numbers. Currently, sentiment indicators still fall a bit short. --- Before risks are fully released, it's too early to talk about rebounds. My advice is to first observe the recovery of RSI and MA. --- Good news is good news, but with market sentiment so heated, a pullback isn't far off. I have to give you a thumbs up for the courage to go all-in.

View OriginalReply0

TokenSleuth

· 3h ago

The expectation of rate cuts is a good thing, but will Bitcoin really follow suit? I don't think so; we might be getting played this time. Liquidity easing next year is certain, but the crypto market has its own temperaments and may not necessarily follow the Federal Reserve's lead. All three scenarios could happen; ultimately, it still depends on on-chain data and institutional movements, rather than simply guessing based on traditional finance. Instead of worrying about whether it will rebound, it's better to see which projects are actually building; even if air coins rise again, it's pointless. I'm a bit annoyed by the conclusion that "no one can be 100% sure"... then why bother analyzing? The biggest beneficiaries of ample liquidity are definitely the major market coins; small-cap tokens will probably continue to suffer. The government pressuring the Federal Reserve might be another signal of retail investors being harvested; don't get too excited. Wait, after precious metals and commodities rise, could they reverse and squeeze BTC funds? Honestly, it's better to observe a bit more before entering now; a slow bottoming process is the most frustrating.

View OriginalReply0

WenAirdrop

· 3h ago

Expectations of interest rate cuts are everywhere, but does the crypto world really buy into this... Feels like a sign of being exploited again. Everyone says liquidity is abundant, so why is my wallet still shrinking? A V-shaped rebound is just a fantasy script; I bet on a slow decline to wear down my last patience. No one can be 100% sure? Then I’m 95% sure I’m going to be trapped. The Federal Reserve cuts interest rates, so where’s the promised Bitcoin surge... Reality always operates in the opposite direction.

View OriginalReply0

LidoStakeAddict

· 3h ago

The interest rate cut cycle has arrived, but will BTC really take off? I don't think it's that simple. A friendly policy ≠ a rise in coin prices; history has already proven that. To put it simply, it's now a gamble. Whether V rebounds or continues to decline sharply, no one can say for sure. Instead of waiting around blindly, it's better to look for other opportunities. The government pressuring the Federal Reserve with this routine feels like they're just preparing to keep pouring money into the market, but the crypto circle has already been cut many times. It seems that liquidity easing will have a more direct impact on traditional assets, and crypto will also need to go through the filter. Does anyone still believe that a rate cut can save the crypto market? I'm quite skeptical.

View OriginalReply0