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Understanding the overall market trend is essential to grasp the true direction of specific cryptocurrencies.
This year, a key shift has occurred in the crypto market—retail investors have handed over the baton to institutional players. The data is clear: institutional holdings of BTC have surpassed 24%, while retail investors are net sellers, with 247,000 BTC flowing into professional funds. Giants like BlackRock and Fidelity continue to increase their positions. The game has changed entirely. Previously, it was an era of retail speculation chasing rallies and selling off on dips; now, institutions are setting the tone, market volatility is high, but the long-term central trend is gradually moving upward.
New tokens like FOLKS are naturally swept up in this wave. The high levels driven by retail hype earlier now require institutional entry. How do they enter? By dumping, shaking out retail investors’ chips, and triggering panic. This decline is the most direct proof.
On-chain data tells a clearer story. As of December 26, FOLKS has a circulating supply of 12.42 million tokens, with a maximum supply of 50 million tokens, and a total market cap of $58.09 million, ranking 585th in the market. The 24-hour trading volume is $7.45 million, a 27.9% increase from the previous day—this is a warning signal. The price is declining, but trading volume is expanding, indicating that funds are accumulating at low levels.
I reviewed large on-chain transactions; recent weekly large trades over $10 million have increased by 59.26%, while small transactions have decreased by 66%. This stark contrast fully reflects the institutionalization process of the market. It’s not retail investors bottom-fishing; professional funds are strategically deploying.
Some may argue, “Institutions also face losses at the start of the year,” predicting BTC will surge to $200,000–$250,000. But yes, price point predictions often miss, yet their judgment on structural trends remains accurate. The trajectories of tokens like SOL and XRP are logically connected.