These past few days, the market appears calm on the surface, but undercurrents are surging. The $28 billion options expire tonight, marking the most critical time point of the year.



BTC's biggest pain point is at 95,000, while Ethereum's is at 3,100. What lies behind these numbers? The real story begins after the expiration is complete.

Here's the interesting part—after more than 50% of the positions are settled, what do the big players do? They didn't withdraw; instead, they committed over 30% of their ammunition to out-of-the-money call options in March. What does this mean? It indicates that the market will rise.

Looking at past patterns, it becomes clear. The fourth quarter is usually challenging, retail investors' confidence collapses, and their morale diminishes. At this time, the big whales are quietly positioning themselves. They are drawing a future map in the options market at the lowest cost, just waiting for a rebound to wipe out all the fearful chips.

This is the mindset of top traders. They don't start positioning during prosperity; quite the opposite, they have already laid out the board when you're at your most desperate. Short-term volatility and fluctuations cannot change the long-term direction.

If you cut your losses now, you're actually actively giving away your chips. The cruelest truth in the crypto world is: at the same price, people with different perceptions will have completely different outcomes. The whales are deploying their funds, while most people are still driven by emotions.

The key is to learn how to read the true signals of the market from options data—that's the way to anticipate the footsteps of a bull market.
BTC-0.85%
ETH-0.93%
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MindsetExpandervip
· 2h ago
Alright, 28 billion is being poured in, and this time it's definitely a bit different. Large funds are still increasing their positions in the March options, indicating they are not panicking at all. I've seen this tactic too many times. Those who cut losses are probably regretting it now; it's always the same every time.
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ColdWalletAnxietyvip
· 8h ago
Large funds are piling up on March call options. Is this really the case or just another attempt to collect smart money taxes? Cutting losses is like giving away chips for free. It sounds right, but who isn't hesitant when it comes to execution... 280 billion in settlements, pain points at 95,000 and 3,100. Basically, they are waiting for retail investors' panic sell-offs. This kind of rhetoric happens every year. I just want to know when retail investors will start making money. Options data can be deceptive, but the real money from big funds won't lie. The key is to watch how they act afterward. Those who are cutting losses now have been cut multiple times before. Our mentality has already been worn down. On the surface, it's called "strategic positioning"; in harsh terms, it's waiting for you to despair and bottom out your chips.
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ForkYouPayMevip
· 8h ago
28 billion options settlement, major players are betting 30% in March for a bullish trend. This rhythm feels so familiar, once again feeding on retail investors' panic. It's the same routine every time: we cut losses, they accumulate positions. Truly brilliant.
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ChainMelonWatchervip
· 8h ago
Wow, 28 billion in settlement is really coming, and this wave of big whales is making aggressive moves. Are you going all-in on March's out-of-the-money call options? That's interesting, it's basically hinting at something. But then again, retail investors are cutting losses while whales are having a feast. After playing this game for so many years, some people still fall for it.
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StableBoivip
· 8h ago
28 billion in settlements. Watching the big players quietly position themselves at low levels again, while retail investors are cutting losses, they are accumulating chips. This trick really hasn't changed. Now, those cutting are just handing guns to others. The harsh reality of cognitive gaps is like this. Planning to buy March call options? Alright, let's see if this rebound is really as strong as imagined. It should have been clear by now: options data is more honest than candlestick charts, it's just that most people can't understand it. The pain points are 95k and 3100; it seems like we need to tinker a bit more before truly taking off.
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CryptoPunstervip
· 8h ago
280 billion needs to be settled, I knew retail investors would have to cut losses. Smiling as I finish this round of losses The big whales are positioning for March options, I am planning to eat dirt in March At the same price, they are drawing maps, I am drawing pie charts. The gap in cognition, everyone Cutting losses is actively giving away chips? Then I have already given away several houses Reading signals from options data, I only look at my wallet and feel despair Is there a hidden current? My mindset is the real hidden current, the kind that could collapse at any moment Everyone knows the tricks from previous years, the question is whether they will come up with new tricks this time
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DuskSurfervip
· 8h ago
$28 billion settlement, the big whales have already laid out their plans, retail investors are still hesitating over whether to cut or not, it's hilarious. Let's see how the out-of-the-money call options play out in March; if this rebound is successful, it will be truly impressive. Selling off is just giving chips to the whales to eat, there's nothing more to say. Options data is straightforward; rather than guessing, it's better to let the data speak. The levels of 95,000 and 3,100 are indeed critical points; the real show begins after the settlement.
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