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Last night, the US stock market hit another all-time high—Dow up 0.6%, S&P up 0.32%, looking quite lively. But interestingly, the crypto world seems a bit calm. What does this divergence really indicate?
The data is in front of us: Micron surged 3.77%, Apple closed up 0.53%, tech stocks are steady. Meanwhile, Coinbase fell 1.06%, and MicroStrategy only rose slightly by 0.53%. Normally, a rise in the US stock market should boost crypto-related stocks, but this time, something seems unusual.
However, a closer look reveals that MicroStrategy, known as the "Bitcoin shadow stock," has been closing higher for several consecutive days, indicating that big capital's Bitcoin positioning has never really stopped. The current traditional fund strategy appears to be: continue chasing AI chips and tech giants, while maintaining a cautious stance on direct crypto investments.
This divergence might be temporary. Imagine a few possibilities: if the Federal Reserve's rate cut expectations heat up next year, abundant liquidity could simultaneously boost both US stocks and crypto assets. Additionally, once Bitcoin spot ETFs are approved, the channel for traditional funds to enter the space will be fully opened. As for the pullback in stocks like Coinbase, it’s likely just a normal profit-taking reaction before the holiday, not necessarily indicating a trend reversal.
So, the US stock market is pushing towards a peak, while crypto assets are gathering strength. When the traditional market is cheering, smart money is already looking for the next breakout. Do you think the first wave of 2024 will start from the US stock market or from the crypto space?