#以太坊行情技术解读 That day, I watched my account drop from 1.86 million to 37,000. I sat in front of the computer, unable to move—the phone kept vibrating, and my wife's screenshots kept coming: mortgage deduction next month, daughter’s piano lesson fees to be continued. The words "Insufficient Balance" flickered repeatedly on the screen. I didn’t think much, directly squatted in the corner of the balcony. At that moment, I truly understood that the so-called "wealth" gained from staying up all night watching the charts over the years could vanish in an instant.

Family is not my investment return statement. This realization came too late, and the cost was too heavy.

Over the next three days, I locked myself in the study, meticulously reviewing each of my trades over the past five years, filling an entire notebook with trading rules. I also sought out a few veteran crypto traders who had suffered heavy losses in the same storm. We decided to start over and built a trading system designed from scratch.

**The core rules are "simple," but effective**

No leverage on contracts, no chasing aircoins, focusing on swing opportunities in mainstream coins. Position sizing follows the "pyramid principle": initial position controlled within 20% of total funds, adding more in batches once profits are realized. Stop-loss per trade is firmly set at 0.8%—better to cut losses decisively than miss opportunities. With this simple approach, we survived the cold bear market of 2022.

**The "Dual Cycle Confirmation Method" developed later**

Only open positions when there is a clear trend signal on the daily chart, and the 1-hour K-line volume exceeds three times. Single-cycle signals? Treated as false. Also, the "Support Level Verification" principle: after breaking through a key resistance, the price must stay steady for two consecutive days, with volume not shrinking, to confirm a genuine breakout. All other situations are treated as false signals. These two logical rules helped us avoid countless "trap and harvest" scenarios.

**What happened in three years**

Starting from just 12 people, this chat group now has over 800 members. 32 consecutive months without a margin call—this number might seem insignificant, but those familiar with the crypto space know what it means. Some paid off car loans with compound interest, others saved enough for their parents’ surgery, and some finally can spend the entire winter and summer vacation peacefully with their children.

Now, whenever I think of myself collapsed in front of the computer, I feel a bit grateful for that lesson. The crypto world has never had stories of overnight wealth, only those who stick to the rules survive until the end. True success is not how shocking the account balance looks, but that family no longer worries about money and can sleep peacefully through the night.

There are no shortcuts in the market. Steady wins the race.