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FOMC rate cut decision drops in a few hours (2 p.m. ET.)
The market is pricing in a +90% chance of a 25 bps cut.
Then at 2:30 p.m. ET, Powell takes the stage.
Here’s the impact breakdown:
- 50 bps cut or QE hints = extremely bullish / markets go parabolic
- 25 bps cut = neutral to slightly bearish
- No cut = bearish
(And yes, imo the most likely outcome is still a 25 bps cut.)
Also worth noting, Powell’s term ends May 15, 2026, and Trump will appoint a very dovish, pro-rate cut Fed Chair.
The money printer is inevitable.