Polymarket signals a 95% probability that the Fed will slash rates by 25 bps today. Here’s what could happen if it goes through:
• Expect short-term swings right around the announcement • Possible relief rally in stocks and risk assets • USD may soften as liquidity outlook brightens • Bonds likely to move first, shaping market direction
Keep your eyes on Powell’s comments—how he frames it will matter more than the cut itself.
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HUGE 🇺🇸
Polymarket signals a 95% probability that the Fed will slash rates by 25 bps today. Here’s what could happen if it goes through:
• Expect short-term swings right around the announcement
• Possible relief rally in stocks and risk assets
• USD may soften as liquidity outlook brightens
• Bonds likely to move first, shaping market direction
Keep your eyes on Powell’s comments—how he frames it will matter more than the cut itself.
#FedRateCutPrediction