2025-12-08 02:44:54

Recently, I did something pretty hardcore: spent 163 hours digging into 36 years of MSCI ACWI global index data, and along the way, I dissected more than 20 historic market crashes like Black Monday, 9/11, the subprime crisis, the COVID crash, and the Russia-Ukraine conflict.

One rather sobering discovery: every time the market crashes, it feels like the end of the world and panic is at its peak. But when you zoom out to a 36-year timeline? All those deep pits have been filled in by subsequent gains—on the candlestick chart, you can’t even find scars from those years.

So in the end, making money isn’t about predicting black swans, but about understanding cycles and surviving through them. That’s just how the market works: it crashes, it rallies, over and over. The ones who can tough it out during the lows and know when to pull back at the highs are the ones who truly benefit from market cycles.

By the way, I also compiled 88 practical strategies from 8 classic investment books—all distilled wisdom from the masters after learning things the hard way. Highly recommend checking them out.

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ZkSnarker

· 12-09 11:00

163 hours on 36 years of data and honestly? this is just survivor bias with extra steps lmao

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IronHeadMiner

· 12-08 14:36

163 hours, really putting your life on the line for the grind. But honestly, when you zoom out to the long-term chart, all that anxiety does seem pointless. The key is still to trust the cycle, and stop staring at the daily K-line getting brainwashed. I’ll bookmark those 88 trading principles for now and look through them when I have time, but how many people can really stick to them? No amount of motivational talk helps those who can’t make it through the lows—that’s the harshest truth. It’s the same old theory—sounds right, but putting it into practice is a whole different story.

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consensus_whisperer

· 12-08 03:12

163 hours to reach this conclusion. Simply put, you still have to live long enough. --- Looking at it from a 36-year perspective, history is indeed forgotten, and only cycles are eternal. --- Sounds right, but when panic really hits, how many people can hold on without cutting their losses? --- Black swans are nothing; cycles are the real game rules. --- Another master’s secret. This theory gets talked about every year, but the key is still surviving a few bear markets yourself. --- So, in the end, it’s just trading time for returns—nothing mysterious about it. --- This data analysis sounds pretty solid, but the hardest part of investing is still the mindset. --- 88 investing principles sound like a lot, but using just 3 of them would already make most people a fortune. --- After analyzing so many crashes, it actually proves that the best strategy is to do nothing and just hold on.

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BlockchainRetirementHome

· 12-08 03:10

163 hours, that's really intense, but it's true... Every time I think it's over, then suddenly it bounces back again.

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MetaverseLandlord

· 12-08 03:09

Surviving the cycle really hits the nail on the head—the real issue is that most people can't get past the mental hurdle. It all comes down to two words: greed. Can't let go at the top, can't hold on at the bottom. 163 hours of research data isn't as valuable as spending one hour reflecting on why you always enter at the peak. The ones who really make money are never those who watch the charts all day—they're the ones who can sleep soundly at night. No matter how many 88 trading rules you know, in the end, you still can't escape human nature. This round of the market is coming, isn't it? Once again, it's about who can keep their cool.

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TokenomicsDetective

· 12-08 03:05

Speaking of 163 hours, man, how much determination does it take to pull that off? I really respect that kind of dedication. Enduring the cycles really hits home. Every time there's a crash, it feels like the end, but if you look at the long term, it's like nothing happened. The difference is incredible. 8 classic books and 88 key principles—I feel like I should organize them and keep a copy, so I can read them during the next big drop. It might just save my life.

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