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On Polymarket, the probability of the U.S. government shutdown ending 11 days ago surged from a low to 66%
Data from Polymarket regarding the end date of the U.S. government shutdown shows that the most strongly predicted end date in the market is between November 8 and 11, with the probability for this option skyrocketing from a low in the past 24 hours to 66%. The probability of ending between November 12 and 15 has sharply decreased from a high to 21%. The most pessimistic forecast for ending on or after November 16 has the lowest probability at 7.2%.