In the Fed's interest rate decision to be announced tonight, the market generally expects a rate cut. Based on the current economic situation and market sentiment, we can foresee three possible outcomes and their impact on the financial markets.

First of all, the most likely scenario is that the Fed will cut interest rates by 25 basis points. If Fed Chairman Powell expresses ambiguity in the subsequent press conference and mentions that future interest rate cut decisions will depend on more economic data, the market may experience volatility and could even decline.

The second possibility is that the Fed cuts interest rates by 25 basis points, but Powell has made it clear that there will be consecutive rate cuts. In this case, the market is likely to experience an upward trend.

In the third scenario, although the likelihood is small, if the Fed unexpectedly cuts interest rates by 50 basis points, it could trigger a strong market rally.

Based on the current economic conditions and the Fed's consistent cautious attitude, the probability of the first scenario occurring is the highest, expected to exceed 80%. However, investors still need to closely monitor the specific resolution announced at 2:30 AM and the subsequent press conference to adjust their investment strategies in a timely manner.

Regardless of the outcome, this interest rate decision will have a significant impact on global financial markets, and investors should remain vigilant and prepare for various possibilities.