September 10, #机器人实战策略参考#

1. Market judgment and strategy selection

The daily price of Bitcoin has risen above the middle Bollinger band, but the middle band itself is trending downward, and the upper band is narrowing, indicating that the overall trend is still contracting. In the last two weeks, Bitcoin has consistently hovered around $113,500, forming three daily upper shadows, indicating strong selling pressure in this area, which is an important resistance zone. Additionally, the daily MACD has formed a golden cross below the zero line, providing a glimmer of hope for a rebound, but momentum has not fully turned positive yet.

In the short term, the US August PPI and CPI will be released sequentially at 8:30 PM tonight and 8:30 PM tomorrow, respectively, along with the European Central Bank's interest rate decision announcement at 8:15 PM tomorrow. The market may be at a point of direction choice. Currently, the fluctuation range of $110,000 - $113,500 is still relatively difficult to break through completely; perhaps these major financial events will provide an opportunity for a breakthrough.

For example, if tomorrow night's CPI data is higher than expected or remains flat, the market may interpret it as bearish, and the price may break below the daily Bollinger middle band (around $111,000), testing the area of $108,500 - $107,500 (previous lows and psychological support level).

ETH has been performing relatively weakly recently, with the ETH/BTC exchange rate under continuous pressure. On the daily chart, the two consecutive days of increased volume long upper shadow doji is a strong hesitation signal. This indicates that at the current position, both bulls and bears are engaged in a fierce battle, with buyers attempting to push higher but being pushed back by sellers.

Although the MACD death cross narrowing indicates a weakening of downward momentum, this candlestick pattern signifies substantial upward resistance. The Bollinger Bands are flattening, showing a pause in the trend, waiting for a directional choice.

The short-term market is also anchored to the CPI data. Before the data is released, it is expected to fluctuate between $4,250 and $4,380. If the data is positive, it may push ETH to attempt to break through $4,400, but the $4,450 - $4,500 range is a stronger resistance area that requires significant trading volume to break; if the data is negative, it may quickly fall below the $4,250 support, subsequently testing the $4,150 - $4,050 area, where the two upper shadow lines have a very strong bearish implication.

The worst-case scenario is a drop below $4,050, which could potentially form a daily head and shoulders or double top pattern, with a downward target possibly pointing to $3,800 or even $3,500.

The current strategy remains conservative, waiting for direction over the next few days. The strategy that aligns with the current robot strategy is: BTC/USDT spot Martingale + ETH/USDT spot grid.

2. Recommended Practical Strategies

Strategy Recommendation 1: A weak rebound may test the support level again, you can layout BTC/USDT spot Martingale.
How much to increase the position: 1.5%;
Maximum number of increase positions: 6;
Take profit ratio for each round: 2%;

Strategy recommendation two: The range oscillation continues, you can deploy ETH/USDT spot grid.

Price range: $4050 - $4520;
Number of grids: 50
Estimated strategy execution time: September 10 - September 13;


Warm reminder: The above content is for reference only and should not be considered as investment advice. You can check more information to make reasonable investment decisions.

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