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September 8, #机器人实战策略参考#
1. Market Judgment and Strategy Selection
After the decline of Bitcoin, it has been continuously oscillating at the bottom with decreasing volume. The middle band of the daily Bollinger Bands cannot effectively break through, and both the upper and middle bands are narrowing down, while the lower band is flattening. At the same time, the continuous bottom oscillation with decreasing volume shows that both bulls and bears in the market are in a stalemate. A directional choice in the short term is about to come, and the narrowing of the Bollinger Bands on the 4-hour chart also confirms this view.
The daily MACD has crossed golden below the zero line, indicating a weakening of bearish momentum, but it remains below the zero line, and the strength of the rebound remains to be observed. The 4-hour MACD is consolidating above the zero line with a golden cross trend, suggesting that there may be slight upward momentum in the short term.
The short-term support level is $108,000, and the resistance level is $113,000. Both mid-term directional choices need to break through their respective key positions. Further up is the range of $116,000 - $117,000, while further down is $105,000.
The 4-hour Bollinger Bands for ETH have narrowed and flattened, while the daily Bollinger Bands are flat at a high level, with the lower band slightly upward and the upper band slightly downward. At the same time, the trading volume has continued to shrink since the weekend, indicating that the market's downward trend has temporarily eased but lacks rebound momentum, facing a choice of direction.
The daily MACD has crossed downwards on the zero axis and is widening, indicating that the adjustment pressure at the daily level is still present; the 4-hour MACD has crossed upwards below the zero axis and is consolidating, suggesting that there may be an attempt to stabilize or even a slight rebound in the short term.
$4,550 is a key watershed for the mid-term trend of ETH. If this level can be effectively broken, it will greatly boost market confidence and open up the path to $4,800 or even $5,000. On the contrary, if it continues to be blocked and falls below the support area of $4,000 - $4,200, it may further test $3,800 (a densely liquid area on-chain) or $3,533.
The overall volatility of the current market is converging, trading volume is shrinking, and it is in a typical pre-change night, with the market waiting for new driving forces. Macroeconomic data and major events are likely to become the trigger that breaks the balance.
Overall, there is a demand for a rebound in the short term, but the rebound momentum is not strong, and the downward trend has still not been broken.
The current robot strategy is: BTC/USDT Spot Martingale + ETH/USDT Spot Grid.
2. Recommended Practical Strategies
Strategy Recommendation 1: If the rebound is not strong, it may test the support level again. You can plan to use the Martingale strategy for BTC/USDT spot trading.
How much to add to the position when it drops: 1.5%;
Maximum number of additional positions: 6;
Take profit ratio per round: 2%;
Strategy recommendation 2: If the range oscillation continues, you can lay out an ETH/USDT spot grid.
Price range: $4050 - $4520;
Number of grids: 50
Strategy execution expected time: September 8th - September 13th;
Warm reminder: The above content is for reference only and does not constitute investment advice. You can refer to more information to make reasonable investment decisions.
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