September 3, #机器人实战策略参考#

1. Market Judgment and Strategy Selection

After two consecutive days of rebound, Bitcoin has started to experience a contraction in volume and consolidation today. The 4-hour MACD has formed a golden cross below the zero line and has expanded upwards to above the zero line, indicating a weakening of short-term downward momentum, while bullish forces are trying to revive. However, both the upper and middle bands of the daily Bollinger Bands are trending downwards, and the current rebound has not yet touched the middle band, suggesting the rebound is relatively weak.

If it cannot reach the $112,900 mentioned yesterday in the next couple of days, then after the rebound ends, the decline may break new lows, especially if it falls below the key support at $107,000, which could trigger significant long leverage liquidations, leading to further price declines; currently, the derivatives market shows that some put options have a higher premium than call options, indicating that investors remain cautious about the short-term trend.

In the medium to long term, the market trend has not fully shifted to a bullish stance; currently, it is merely a weak rebound, and the downward momentum has not been reversed. The resistance and support levels mentioned yesterday remain valid: upper resistance at $112,900 and lower support at $107,000 and $105,500.

ETH's performance has started to lag behind Bitcoin in the past week, and the ETH/BTC exchange rate has also begun to decline, indicating that mainstream market funds have become more cautious, contrary to the previous mainstream belief that the market would surge with a high probability of the Fed lowering interest rates in September.

In the medium to long term, during this market cycle, ETH is expected to perform better than Bitcoin. Recent ecological activities such as the WLFI token issuance (raising over $2.2 billion) may attract capital attention to the Ethereum ecosystem, creating potential benefits for its price.

The levels mentioned yesterday are still valid. Upper resistance: $4470, $4520; lower support: $4200, $4100; focus on the major support zone of $3900-$4000 for long-term bottom-fishing opportunities.

Short-term focus on the release of non-farm payroll data this Friday at 8:30 PM, which could be a turning point for directional choice.

The current robot strategy is: BTC/USDT spot Martingale + ETH/USDT neutral contract grid.

2. Recommended Practical Strategies

Strategy Recommendation 1: Bounce meets resistance but support level is strong, you can layout BTC/USDT spot Martingale.
Increase position by how much when it drops: 1.5%;
Maximum number of leverage increases: 6;
Take profit ratio for each round: 2%;

Strategy Recommendation 2: The range oscillation is gradually forming, and you can lay out ETH/USDT neutral contract grid.

Price range: $4120 - $4660;
Leverage multiplier: 5
Number of grids: 50
Start conditions -- Price trigger to start: $4390, short above, long below
Expected strategy execution time: September 3 - September 9;

Warm reminder: The above content is for reference only and should not be considered as investment advice. You can consult more information to make reasonable investment decisions.

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