Prediction markets and Betting are much similar but not the same. While focusing on @trylimitless lets see how the two vary.
Primary Focus
Betting: For entertainment or profit, focusing on individual risk-taking.
Prediction Markets: Designed for forecasting and aggregating information to estimate event probabilities.
Mechanism used.
Betting: Bookmakers set fixed odds, and bettors wager against the house, often with a built-in margin
Prediction Markets: Participants trade contracts dynamically, with prices adjusting via supply and demand, often through continuous double auctions or automated market makers
Accuracy
Betting: Odds may not reflect true probabilities due to bookmaker margins or biases
Prediction Markets: Prices reflect aggregated crowd beliefs, often more accurate.
Regulation and Licencing.
Betting: Regulated as gambling, often restricted in specific regions.
Prediction Markets: May fall under financial regulations but face gambling law challenges.
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Prediction markets and Betting are much similar but not the same. While focusing on @trylimitless lets see how the two vary.
Primary Focus
Betting: For entertainment or profit, focusing on individual risk-taking.
Prediction Markets: Designed for forecasting and aggregating information to estimate event probabilities.
Mechanism used.
Betting: Bookmakers set fixed odds, and bettors wager against the house, often with a built-in margin
Prediction Markets: Participants trade contracts dynamically, with prices adjusting via supply and demand, often through continuous double auctions or automated market makers
Accuracy
Betting: Odds may not reflect true probabilities due to bookmaker margins or biases
Prediction Markets: Prices reflect aggregated crowd beliefs, often more accurate.
Regulation and Licencing.
Betting: Regulated as gambling, often restricted in specific regions.
Prediction Markets: May fall under financial regulations but face gambling law challenges.
gLimitless fam