Data Analysis:

From the current settlement map, the overall market shows a relative balance between long and short positions. Ethereum is currently dominated by bears, but is already in the process of liquidating longs.

The current price of Bitcoin is $116,000. If it rises to $118,000, it is expected to liquidate about $1.288 billion in shorts. If it falls to $114,000, it is expected to liquidate about $1.55 billion in longs.

The current price of Ethereum is $4300. If it rises to $4400, it is expected that approximately $820 million in short positions could be liquidated. If it falls to $4200, it is expected that approximately $2.02 billion in long positions could be liquidated.

ETF Fund Flow (Yesterday)
BTC spot ETF: inflow of 12.7 million USD
ETH Spot ETF: $19.6 million outflow

Market Insights:
Market Direction: Short-term fluctuations. From the current market trend, the 4H level trend is slowly recovering, but whether it can successfully establish a bottom still needs to be observed. The main focus is on whether the market can effectively stabilize around 117,000. If the market declines again, Ethereum is likely to experience a significant correction, while most altcoins will see even larger declines.

Currently, the overall rebound strength of altcoins is relatively weak, and the market is more in a wait-and-see attitude. Trading activity has decreased as investors await a signal for a market trend change. Therefore, I personally believe that contract strategies should remain conservative, focusing on short-term band trading while avoiding heavy positions and strictly implementing stop losses.

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