#CPI Data Coming# The US CPI data for July was released on August 13, 2025, showing that inflation remained unchanged at 2.7% year-over-year, slightly below the expected 2.8%. Here's a breakdown of the key figures¹:

- *Headline Inflation*: 2.7% year-over-year, matching June's rate and missing expectations of 2.8%
- *Core CPI*: 3.1% year-over-year, above the market consensus of 3%
- *Monthly CPI*: 0.2% increase, aligning with analysts' estimates
- *Monthly Core CPI*: 0.3% rise, meeting expectations

Market reaction to the CPI data shows:
- *US Dollar Index*: Down 0.15% on the day at 98.35
- *Currency Fluctuations*:
- *US Dollar*: Weakest against the Swiss Franc (-0.35%)
- *EUR/USD*: Advances toward 1.1650, supported by a bearish tone in the US Dollar
- *GBP/USD*: Holds range near 1.3450

The CPI data may influence the Federal Reserve's interest rate decisions, with markets pricing in about a 90% probability of a 25 basis point rate cut in September. The data's impact on the policy outlook for the rest of the year will be closely watched.