#Fed Holds Rates Decision

The Federal Reserve ( decided to keep the policy interest rate unchanged at its meeting in July 2025.
The decision came in an environment where inflation has slowed down but economic uncertainties persist.

Key Points:
• The interest rate has been kept constant at 5.25%.
• Justification: While inflation approaches the target, the unemployment rate remains low.
• Forward-looking message: Chairman Powell signaled a single interest rate cut by the end of the year.

Impact on Crypto Markets

Bitcoin )BTC/USDT(: $118,566
• The Fed's interest rate cut signal was perceived positively for risky assets.
• BTC may challenge the $120,000 resistance. In case of an upward breakout, $126K can be targeted.

Ethereum )ETH/USDT(: $3,780
• ETH continues to receive institutional demand amid macro uncertainties.
• The $3,950 level should be monitored as a target resistance.

Strategic Reflections:

The Fed's fixed interest rate decision could have two different effects on the crypto markets:
1. Short Term:
The elimination of uncertainty may increase buying transactions. Especially, mobility can be expected in L2 and large-cap tokens.
2. Medium–Long Term:
The possibility of an interest rate cut could redirect institutional investors back to crypto. Especially, projects that comply with regulations and are based on real assets could stand out.

Featured Coins:
• TRU )TrueFi(: It stands out with its infrastructure compatible with the corporate debt market.
• LDO )Lido(: Staking returns are directly related to interest rate decisions.
• XAUT: When interest rate pressure decreases, gold-backed tokens may regain interest.
• ARB / OP: Layer 2s are the most sensitive structure to capital inflow.

Evaluation:

The Fed's decision may not provide a direct direction for crypto; however, the possibility of a rate cut could signal the beginning of a new bull wave in the fall of 2025.
An investor who accurately reads macro signals will be the one who best takes advantage of opportunities during periods of volatility.