It takes 30 months for Bitcoin to reach a new all-time high after 2021

It takes 30 months for Bitcoin to reach a new all-time high after 2021.

If the cycle repeats, Bitcoin will not reach $120,000 until 2028. And what am I most afraid of? This CYCLE IS NO DIFFERENT in price behavior. Think about that. 1️⃣ PHASE ONE: FIRST PEAK → SHOCK March 2021. Bitcoin hits its first major peak. The rally is excessive. Retail investors are excited. RSI skyrockets. Then comes the correction phase. Fast forward. December 2024. The first peak of this cycle. Once again, the conditions are overheated. Once again, RSI surges. Once again, a sharp correction. Similar structure. Five years apart. Markets always cool down after vertical expansion. That remains unchanged. 2️⃣ PHASE TWO: SECOND PEAK → DISTRIBUTION October 2021. Bitcoin hits its second peak. Looks very strong. Feels optimistic. But momentum is weaker than at the first peak. Then the “dull red weeks” begin. Gradually declining. Lower highs. Emotionally exhausted. Now look at October 2025. Again, a second peak. And what do we see? Momentum divergence. RSI weaker than at the first peak. Price gets rejected. Once again, distribution. History doesn’t repeat perfectly. But it’s disturbingly similar. 3️⃣ PHASE THREE: BOTTOM CONSOLIDATION After the second peak in 2021, BTC didn’t crash immediately into a new cycle. It was compressed. RSI reset into the bear market zone. Only after that reset did the macro reversal truly begin. Currently, in 2026, we are in a similar compression phase. Weekly RSI is near levels historically indicating exhaustion. Price is oscillating around the previous all-time high rather than collapsing. This phase seems the worst because nothing exciting happens. But structurally, this is where cycles are rebuilt. 4️⃣ 30-MONTH FACT Peak in 2021 → Breaks all-time high in 2024 = ~30 months. The new timing is the real catalyst. If we reflect that timeline from the second peak in October 2025, the expansion doesn’t happen immediately. It extends into 2027-2028. This aligns with the projected $120,000 price on the right side of the chart. Not because of hope. Because of historical rhythm. Every cycle has: • Excitement phase • Double peak distribution • Multiple weeks of decline • Resetting the uptrend • Building a stable foundation • Delayed expansion Right now, we are in the middle of the “weeks of decline” and “building a foundation” phases. And if this cycle behaves like previous ones in price action, then the real bull run is not over. It’s just not scheduled for tomorrow. What’s the uncomfortable truth? Bitcoin might simply be doing what it has always done. And that means patience now, and the expansion will come later.