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Recently, the crypto assets market has experienced a wave of rise, with Bitcoin breaking through $116,000 and Ethereum climbing to $4,700. However, can this surge be sustained? At this critical moment before the Fed is about to announce its interest rate decision, how should investors respond?
Recent economic data shows that non-farm payroll figures have been revised downwards by the largest margin in ten years, with the unemployment rate climbing to a four-year high. This data seems to suggest that the Fed is about to cut interest rates, but the reality may not be so simple. Market data is often just the surface; the real logic requires deeper analysis.
Historical experience shows that every interest rate decision by the Fed has a significant impact on the Crypto Assets market. If the interest rate is cut by 25 basis points, the market may retreat to around $107,000; if it is cut by 50 basis points, the market may rise sharply, even breaking through $138,000. However, regardless of the outcome, blindly chasing the rise is extremely dangerous.
Current market sentiment is already at a high level, which is often the final stage of a bull market. In this case, contrarian thinking may be more beneficial for grasping the market rhythm. Investors need to analyze calmly and not be misled by short-term rises.
As the Fed's decision approaches, investors should remain vigilant and prepare for various possibilities. Do not be deceived by the surface of the market; instead, delve into the underlying logic. At critical moments, decisive decision-making may yield better investment returns.
Whether you are bullish or bearish, it is important to have your own judgment and make decisions at the right time. Remember, the market is always full of uncertainties, and maintaining rationality and flexibility is key to successful investing.