To analyze the impact of the Fed's September interest rate cut meeting on Bitcoin, we need to combine historical patterns with the current market situation.
Looking back at 2019, Bitcoin rose 4 times before the interest rate cut, but on the day the news landed, it plummeted by 38%, causing significant losses for many investors. In contrast, the market expectations for 2024 anticipated another crash, but supported by various favorable factors, Bitcoin instead rose by 30%, catching the bears off guard.
Looking ahead to 2025, we face two possible scenarios:
1. If Bitcoin breaks through $115,000 before the interest rate cut, it is likely to repeat the crash scenario of 2019, and investors should exercise caution.
2. If Bitcoin consolidates between $100,000 and $105,000, it indicates that the positive news has not yet been fully absorbed by the market, and after the interest rate cut, it may surge to $115,000.
The key is to closely monitor the speeches of Fed Chairman Powell. If he mentions "continuing the easing" policy, the market may perform more strongly.
It is important to emphasize that the fluctuations in September were relatively limited and should not be overly focused on. The long-term trend of Bitcoin remains upward. However, whether it can break through $130,000 by the end of the year will depend on factors such as the inflation data in October, changes in corporate holdings, and the geopolitical situation in the Middle East.
My personal opinion is: I am optimistic about Bitcoin in the long term, but in the short term, it is necessary to closely monitor the key factors mentioned above. When the right time comes, decisively increase positions, and avoid risks in a timely manner if necessary. Maintain rational thinking and do not let short-term fluctuations affect your judgment; this is the key to maintaining an advantage in the cryptocurrency market.
This page may contain third-party content, which is provided for information purposes only (not representations/warranties) and should not be considered as an endorsement of its views by Gate, nor as financial or professional advice. See Disclaimer for details.
14 Likes
Reward
14
6
Repost
Share
Comment
0/400
NestedFox
· 10h ago
BTC will remain strong in the long term.
View OriginalReply0
NFTArchaeologist
· 10h ago
A coin that doesn't big pump isn't called a coin! Just buy it and that's it.
View OriginalReply0
RetailTherapist
· 10h ago
Mik has finally waited for 180,000.
View OriginalReply0
OnChainArchaeologist
· 10h ago
Clearly, it's painting BTC again~
View OriginalReply0
Whale_Whisperer
· 10h ago
Let's just say it this way.
View OriginalReply0
AirdropHarvester
· 10h ago
The front row has moved the bench to watch the show.
To analyze the impact of the Fed's September interest rate cut meeting on Bitcoin, we need to combine historical patterns with the current market situation.
Looking back at 2019, Bitcoin rose 4 times before the interest rate cut, but on the day the news landed, it plummeted by 38%, causing significant losses for many investors. In contrast, the market expectations for 2024 anticipated another crash, but supported by various favorable factors, Bitcoin instead rose by 30%, catching the bears off guard.
Looking ahead to 2025, we face two possible scenarios:
1. If Bitcoin breaks through $115,000 before the interest rate cut, it is likely to repeat the crash scenario of 2019, and investors should exercise caution.
2. If Bitcoin consolidates between $100,000 and $105,000, it indicates that the positive news has not yet been fully absorbed by the market, and after the interest rate cut, it may surge to $115,000.
The key is to closely monitor the speeches of Fed Chairman Powell. If he mentions "continuing the easing" policy, the market may perform more strongly.
It is important to emphasize that the fluctuations in September were relatively limited and should not be overly focused on. The long-term trend of Bitcoin remains upward. However, whether it can break through $130,000 by the end of the year will depend on factors such as the inflation data in October, changes in corporate holdings, and the geopolitical situation in the Middle East.
My personal opinion is: I am optimistic about Bitcoin in the long term, but in the short term, it is necessary to closely monitor the key factors mentioned above. When the right time comes, decisively increase positions, and avoid risks in a timely manner if necessary. Maintain rational thinking and do not let short-term fluctuations affect your judgment; this is the key to maintaining an advantage in the cryptocurrency market.