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Goldman Sachs traders say the landscape of U.S. stocks has become clearer as we enter December.

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According to Golden Finance, Goldman Sachs' trading division stated that while the S&P 500 index may end November roughly flat, the path ahead has become noticeably clearer as volatility eases, market breadth improves, and trend-following strategies shift to the buy side. Multiple indicators show that as we enter December, the market is stabilizing. Goldman Sachs' Lee Coppersmith noted in a report to clients that the five-day moving average of the number of S&P index constituents that rose minus those that fell had dropped to -150 earlier this month, indicating “considerable damage beneath the surface.” However, just before Thanksgiving, that indicator rebounded back to around +150. “This is a huge shift—market participation is broader, not just a narrow squeeze, and it further indicates that the market has released a significant amount of pressure in mid-November,” he added. Goldman Sachs' volatility panic index conveys a similar message. The index is currently around 5, slightly above the average level of the past three years, and well below the highs seen in early November. The so-called systematic strategy positions have also been reset. Goldman Sachs traders estimate that the sell-off related to the S&P 500 index over the past month was about $16 billion, stating that these trades drove the earlier decline in the stock market. After this round of de-risking has largely been absorbed by the market, the bank's baseline expectation for next month has turned to net buying, with a scale of about $4.7 billion. “This means that we are entering December with a cleaner starting point compared to a few weeks ago,” Coppersmith wrote.

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Thangvn96vip
· 57m ago
Goldman Sachs' report indicates that the S&P 500 index may stay tuned in November, but with the market volatility falling and the market breadth improving, the market outlook becomes clearer. The indicators suggest that the market tends to stabilize as it enters December, with broader participation and expected net buying of about 4.7 billion USD.
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