Bitcoin latest market overview

Figure:https://www.gate.com/trade/BTC_USDT

As of mid-July 2025, the price of Bitcoin has stabilized above $115,500. Since a brief pullback below $100,000 in mid-June, BTC has strongly rebounded and surpassed its historical price, reaching a new high of over $123,200.

Why is it predicted that Bitcoin will rise by 25%

According to the latest analysis report from Finance Magnates cited by TradingView, some market experts expect Bitcoin to rise 25% this quarter and reach an all-time high, with a price target range of $140,000 to $145,000. This prediction is mainly based on several factors:

1. Institutional capital inflows accelerate: Since the beginning of 2025, ETF products such as Grayscale and BlackRock have continued to see net inflows.
2. On-chain data is strong: long-term holders have not shown large-scale selling pressure, reflecting that market confidence remains solid.
3. Halving effect continues to ferment: After Bitcoin completes its halving in April 2024, historically BTC tends to experience a significant rise within 6 to 12 months.

Technical Analysis Support: Price Structure and Breakout Signals

On a technical level, analysts point out that Bitcoin has completed a daily “triangle consolidation breakout” and has stabilized above an important support level, with momentum indicators such as RSI and MACD also turning to bullish signals.

• RSI indicator: currently in the 65 range, indicating there is still room for pump.
• MACD Golden Cross: The short-term moving average starts to reverse, which is expected to guide more funds into the market.
• Volume recovery: indicates an increase in market activity, which is favorable for continued pump.

Market fundamentals and institutional trends

In addition, the recovery of the US stock market and the weakening of the US dollar index have also contributed to a comprehensive rebound of risk assets. Bitcoin, as “digital gold,” is favored by funds in the current environment where inflation is easing but interest rates remain high. At the same time, institutional investors are beginning to return to the cryptocurrency market, especially entering through ETF products, which supports the price.

It is worth noting that several leading institutions have recently increased their holdings in BTC:

• BlackRock’s BTC ETF has surpassed 300,000 BTC holdings;
• JPMorgan, Fidelity and others have begun to offer crypto services to clients;
• Pension funds from countries such as South Korea and the UAE are also trying to venture into digital asset allocation.

How should investors respond?

For ordinary investors, this stage is both an opportunity and a test. If the prediction holds, the Bitcoin price still has about a 25% rise potential, but at the same time, it is important to pay attention to the following risk factors:

• Changes in Federal Reserve policies (such as a sudden hawkish turn);
• Regulatory changes for large exchanges/ETFs;
• Whales selling at high levels may cause short-term impact.

Suggestion:

• Maintain flexibility in positions and avoid blindly chasing highs;
• You can gradually build your position using a systematic investment approach.
• Pay attention to on-chain data and macroeconomic signals, and adjust strategies in a timely manner.

Conclusion

Will Bitcoin rise by 25%? From the current market performance and various data, this prediction has a certain degree of rationality, but one must also be wary of market fluctuations. Investments should be made in conjunction with one’s own risk tolerance, and one should not follow blindly.