Recent US activities in international affairs have been frequent, particularly in movements regarding Venezuela and Greenland, directly impacting energy and metal markets. Behind this wave of changes lies a deep adjustment in the global non-ferrous metal supply landscape, and the upside potential for related commodities is expanding.
The US stock line should continue to probe upward next week, and the possibility of rushing to new historical highs within January does exist. However, the problem is that currently fund concentration is too high, making it difficult to form a broad-based rally in the short term. The absence of more participants entering the market makes this round of market action seem somewhat lonely. By February and March, there may be some disturbances within the market, and the rhythm at that time will be difficult to predict. The current stance should be more cautious—don't get carried away by short-term gains.
Speaking of Bitcoin, its correlation with US economic conditions over these past months has been too tight. Although geopolitical tensions have been fueling the move, the 100,000 USD level has never been able to break through smoothly, and the resilience of the bears has been surprisingly strong. Volatility this week will be quite sharp, with significant risk of pullback after rallying higher. At this stage, it's better to observe first and wait for lower price signals before considering entry—that way it's more solid.
Regarding Hong Kong stocks and A-shares, there are actually quite a few opportunities. A-shares may undergo some adjustment next week, but the upward mega-trend won't change, and now is actually a good window for building positions. If direct positioning in A-shares is difficult, consider Hong Kong stocks or using triple-leveraged long tools to track the FTSE China A50 Index. Hong Kong stocks have been pressed down quite hard recently, but the energy for a rebound is accumulating. The key is still to pick the right stocks.
The trajectory of gold is relatively clear—there will be fluctuations on the way to charging toward 4,500 USD, which is normal volatility. However, the 4,240 USD support level is very solid, and the probability of it being truly broken through is minimal. Investors holding gold may as well view this as a long-term position, with bullish strength being released gradually. Just be patient and wait.
Recent US activities in international affairs have been frequent, particularly in movements regarding Venezuela and Greenland, directly impacting energy and metal markets. Behind this wave of changes lies a deep adjustment in the global non-ferrous metal supply landscape, and the upside potential for related commodities is expanding.
The US stock line should continue to probe upward next week, and the possibility of rushing to new historical highs within January does exist. However, the problem is that currently fund concentration is too high, making it difficult to form a broad-based rally in the short term. The absence of more participants entering the market makes this round of market action seem somewhat lonely. By February and March, there may be some disturbances within the market, and the rhythm at that time will be difficult to predict. The current stance should be more cautious—don't get carried away by short-term gains.
Speaking of Bitcoin, its correlation with US economic conditions over these past months has been too tight. Although geopolitical tensions have been fueling the move, the 100,000 USD level has never been able to break through smoothly, and the resilience of the bears has been surprisingly strong. Volatility this week will be quite sharp, with significant risk of pullback after rallying higher. At this stage, it's better to observe first and wait for lower price signals before considering entry—that way it's more solid.
Regarding Hong Kong stocks and A-shares, there are actually quite a few opportunities. A-shares may undergo some adjustment next week, but the upward mega-trend won't change, and now is actually a good window for building positions. If direct positioning in A-shares is difficult, consider Hong Kong stocks or using triple-leveraged long tools to track the FTSE China A50 Index. Hong Kong stocks have been pressed down quite hard recently, but the energy for a rebound is accumulating. The key is still to pick the right stocks.
The trajectory of gold is relatively clear—there will be fluctuations on the way to charging toward 4,500 USD, which is normal volatility. However, the 4,240 USD support level is very solid, and the probability of it being truly broken through is minimal. Investors holding gold may as well view this as a long-term position, with bullish strength being released gradually. Just be patient and wait.