Let me draw an analogy with the US stock market trend.
Last time, US stocks oscillated for 120 days at the top. From November 2024, oscillation continued until March 2025 when it broke below the oscillation range, with a maximum drawdown exceeding 20%.
This time starting from October 2025, it has already oscillated for 3 months. If we draw the same analogy, US stocks would continue oscillating for nearly 1-2 more months, with sharp declines beginning in late February. During this period, there should be multiple false breakouts and oscillations.
Based on this, BTC as a high-risk asset has relatively high liquidity and fund sensitivity. BTC should complete liquidation of aggressive short positions before mid-February, then continue the downtrend. However, in the near term, we should still look for rebounds.
Let me draw an analogy with the US stock market trend.
Last time, US stocks oscillated for 120 days at the top.
From November 2024, oscillation continued until March 2025 when it broke below the oscillation range, with a maximum drawdown exceeding 20%.
This time starting from October 2025, it has already oscillated for 3 months. If we draw the same analogy, US stocks would continue oscillating for nearly 1-2 more months, with sharp declines beginning in late February. During this period, there should be multiple false breakouts and oscillations.
Based on this, BTC as a high-risk asset has relatively high liquidity and fund sensitivity. BTC should complete liquidation of aggressive short positions before mid-February, then continue the downtrend. However, in the near term, we should still look for rebounds.
$BTC $SPYON
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