The morning wake-up call is more punctual than an alarm clock.
It's not even five o'clock yet, and the phone screen keeps lighting up—BTC dropped below 101,000? USDX unpegged to 0.388? Did the whales get wrecked on the dip? My eyes aren't even open, and my brain is already processing data. I swipe my phone, and the screen is filled with red and green fluctuations, instantly waking me up. As the coffee machine starts, my first reaction is: don't panic, let's see what the blockchain has to say.
The computer boots up, heading straight to on-chain tracking: a certain whale dumped 800,000 USDT to buy the dip on USDX but ended up getting stuck during redemption, while on the ETH side, some 25x long positions were partially liquidated. Deribit has over $5 billion in options expiring this Friday. Each of these is not a small matter. Switching to the charts, pulling out both daily and 4-hour lines—BTC daily is weakening, and ETH has already broken key support. Fingers tapping on the desk, I silently remind myself: 106,000 is the lifeline; if it breaks, it’s heading to 98,000. Quickly jot that down.
At seven o'clock, it's time to discuss the institutional report. Yi Lihua mentioned a 50% chance of wide fluctuations, and BTC might return to 116,000; on the other hand, analysts warned that the on-chain data for XRP doesn't look good, with the number of independent addresses plummeting by 18.5%. After reading this, I have a clear idea: don't chase the rebound yet, wait for a pullback; make sure to hit the support when buying low; reduce position size, and set a stop-loss at 1,000 points, never hesitate.
At eight o'clock, the community messages exploded. Newbies are panicking: "Is it too late to add to my position now?"